Morgan Stanley (BSP:MSBR34) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 6.15 (As of Aug. 03, 2026) — 94% Above Median

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BSP:MSBR34 Morgan Stanley BSP:MSBR34
55 GF Score
Price R$213.78
GF Value R$158.79
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Morgan Stanley BSP:MSBR34 +3.26% 55 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 6.15 as of Aug. 03, 2026, which is 94% above its 10-year median of 3.17. GuruFocus rates BSP:MSBR34 with a GF Score™ of 55/100 and a GF Value™ of R$158.79 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 606 Capital Markets companies, Morgan Stanley ranks worse than 67.33% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-03), Morgan Stanley's current share price is R$213.78. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was R$34.75. Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 6.15.

The historical rank and industry rank for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:MSBR34' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.48   Med: 3.17   Max: 6.64
Current: 6.26

During the past years, Morgan Stanley's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 6.64. The lowest was 1.48. And the median was 3.17.

BSP:MSBR34's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
67.33% of 606 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 3.36 vs BSP:MSBR34: 6.26

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Morgan Stanley's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was R$12.824. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is R$34.75 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Morgan Stanley  (BSP:MSBR34) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.30 3.32 3.39 4.23 5.49

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.53 4.99 5.49 4.89 0.00

BSP:MSBR34 vs GS, SCHW, HOOD: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


BSP:MSBR34
55GF Score
Morgan Stanley BSP:MSBR34
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=213.78/34.75
=6.15

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=12.824/330.2130*330.2130
=12.824

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 3.038 241.018 4.162
201609 2.915 241.428 3.987
201612 3.090 241.432 4.226
201703 3.136 243.801 4.248
201706 3.233 244.955 4.358
201709 2.989 246.819 3.999
201712 3.292 246.524 4.410
201803 3.870 249.554 5.121
201806 4.315 251.989 5.654
201809 4.431 252.439 5.796
201812 3.621 251.233 4.759
201903 4.440 254.202 5.768
201906 4.480 256.143 5.776
201909 4.758 256.759 6.119
201912 5.303 256.974 6.814
202003 5.616 258.115 7.185
202006 8.627 257.797 11.050
202009 7.603 260.280 9.646
202012 7.325 260.474 9.286
202103 9.180 264.877 11.444
202106 7.628 271.696 9.271
202109 8.115 274.310 9.769
202112 8.693 278.802 10.296
202203 7.894 287.504 9.067
202206 7.180 296.311 8.001
202209 7.502 296.808 8.346
202212 7.443 296.797 8.281
202303 8.542 301.836 9.345
202306 7.398 305.109 8.007
202309 7.465 307.789 8.009
202312 7.255 306.746 7.810
202403 8.761 312.332 9.263
202406 9.377 314.175 9.856
202409 9.870 315.301 10.337
202412 11.415 315.605 11.943
202503 11.888 319.799 12.275
202506 10.865 322.561 11.123
202509 11.524 324.800 11.716
202512 11.532 324.054 11.751
202603 12.824 330.213 12.824

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 6.15 mean?
Morgan Stanley (BSP:MSBR34) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 6.15 as of Aug. 03, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. This is 94% above median its historical median of 3.17. Over the past decade, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.48 to 6.64. According to the industry distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #408 out of 606 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 67.3%.
Is Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 6.15 is 94% above median its 10-year median of 3.17. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.48 to a high of 6.64. The Capital Markets industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.36. Morgan Stanley's value of 6.15 is 83% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #408 out of 606 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Morgan Stanley has a GF Score™ of 55/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to GS and SCHW?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Morgan Stanley ranks #408 out of 606 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Morgan Stanley in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.36. Morgan Stanley's value of 6.15 is 83% above this benchmark. Historically, Morgan Stanley's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 1.48 to 6.64 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.17 vs. the industry median of 3.36, Morgan Stanley has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Capital Markets company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Capital Markets companies is 3.36, based on 606 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 6.15 is 83% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Morgan Stanley and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.36 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Morgan Stanley's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 6.15, which is 94% above median its own 10-year median of 3.17. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Morgan Stanley stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley (BSP:MSBR34) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R$158.79, compared to a current price of R$213.78 — trading 34.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 6.15, which is 94% above median its 10-year median of 3.17 and 83% above the Capital Markets industry median of 3.36. Morgan Stanley's overall GF Score™ is 55/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Morgan Stanley (BSP:MSBR34), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 6.15 as of Aug. 03, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Morgan Stanley (BSP:MSBR34) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R$213.78 is trading 34.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of R$158.79. GuruFocus considers Morgan Stanley to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for BSP:MSBR34:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 6.15 (94% above median its 10-year median of 3.17)
  • GF Value™: R$158.79 vs. price of R$213.78 (34.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 55/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 83% above the Capital Markets median (#408 of 606)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:MSBR34 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Morgan Stanley Business Description

Address 1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of 2025. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.
55GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:MSBR34

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$213.78
Price
R$158.79
GF Value