Costco Wholesale (CHIX:CTOD) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.78 (As of Jul. 16, 2026) — 45% Above Median

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CHIX:CTOD Costco Wholesale Corp CHIX:CTOD
96 GF Score
Price €833.50
GF Value €929.11
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Costco Wholesale CHIX:CTOD 96 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.78 as of Jul. 16, 2026, which is 45% above its 10-year median of 1.23. GuruFocus rates CHIX:CTOD with a GF Score™ of 96/100 and a GF Value™ of €929.11. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 237 Retail - Defensive companies, Costco Wholesale ranks worse than 89.03% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-16), Costco Wholesale's current share price is €833.50. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was €468.55. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.78.

The historical rank and industry rank for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

CHIX:CTOd' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64   Med: 1.23   Max: 2.3
Current: 1.7

During the past years, Costco Wholesale's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.30. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 1.23.

CHIX:CTOd's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
89.03% of 237 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.45 vs CHIX:CTOd: 1.70

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was €135.839. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is €468.55 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Costco Wholesale  (CHIX:CTOd) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.36 1.35 1.29 1.94 1.89

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.14 1.89 1.81 1.96 1.78

CHIX:CTOD vs TGT, DG, DLTR: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


CHIX:CTOD
96GF Score
Costco Wholesale Corp CHIX:CTOD
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=833.50/468.55
=1.78

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Costco Wholesale's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=135.839/335.1230*335.1230
=135.839

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201608 73.934 240.849 102.874
201611 59.129 241.353 82.102
201702 63.429 243.603 87.259
201705 59.218 244.733 81.090
201708 81.148 245.519 110.764
201711 61.475 246.669 83.520
201802 60.525 248.991 81.462
201805 61.980 251.588 82.559
201808 86.780 252.146 115.338
201811 69.703 252.038 92.681
201902 70.498 252.776 93.464
201905 70.164 256.092 91.817
201908 96.173 256.558 125.624
201911 75.553 257.208 98.440
202002 80.746 258.678 104.608
202005 76.991 256.394 100.632
202008 101.518 259.918 130.891
202011 82.257 260.229 105.931
202102 83.295 263.014 106.131
202105 83.902 269.195 104.450
202108 119.884 273.567 146.859
202111 99.230 277.948 119.642
202202 102.778 283.716 121.401
202205 111.839 292.296 128.226
202208 160.032 296.171 181.079
202211 120.133 297.711 135.230
202302 116.134 300.840 129.368
202305 111.072 304.127 122.392
202308 162.871 307.026 177.776
202311 120.175 307.051 131.162
202402 121.811 310.326 131.544
202405 121.679 314.069 129.836
202408 162.420 314.796 172.908
202411 131.597 315.493 139.785
202502 137.505 319.082 144.418
202505 126.051 321.465 131.406
202508 166.432 323.976 172.158
202511 130.975 324.122 135.420
202602 132.485 326.785 135.865
202605 135.839 335.123 135.839

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.78 mean?
Costco Wholesale (CHIX:CTOD) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.78 as of Jul. 16, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. This is 45% above median its historical median of 1.23. Over the past decade, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.64 to 2.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #211 out of 237 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 89%.
Is Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.78 is 45% above median its 10-year median of 1.23. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.64 to a high of 2.30. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45. Costco Wholesale's value of 1.78 is 295.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #211 out of 237 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Costco Wholesale has a GF Score™ of 96/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to TGT and DG?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #211 out of 237 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Costco Wholesale in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45. Costco Wholesale's value of 1.78 is 295.6% above this benchmark. Historically, Costco Wholesale's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.64 to 2.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.23 vs. the industry median of 0.45, Costco Wholesale has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.45, based on 237 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.78 is 295.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.78, which is 45% above median its own 10-year median of 1.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued right now?
Costco Wholesale (CHIX:CTOD) has a current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.78. The stock's GF Value™ is €929.11, compared to a current price of €833.50 — trading 10.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.78, which is 45% above median its 10-year median of 1.23 and 295.6% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 0.45. Costco Wholesale's overall GF Score™ is 96/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Costco Wholesale (CHIX:CTOD), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.78 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Costco Wholesale (CHIX:CTOD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costco Wholesale stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €833.50 is trading 10.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of €929.11.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:CTOD:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.78 (45% above median its 10-year median of 1.23)
  • GF Value™: €929.11 vs. price of €833.50 (10.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 96/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 295.6% above the Retail - Defensive median (#211 of 237)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:CTOD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Costco Wholesale Business Description

Address 999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
96GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:CTOD

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€833.50
Price
€929.11
GF Value