Dollar Tree (FRA:DT3) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.11 (As of Jul. 27, 2026) — 25% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

FRA:DT3 Dollar Tree Inc FRA:DT3
79 GF Score
Price €105.80
GF Value €129.15
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Dollar Tree FRA:DT3 +2.72% 79 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.11 as of Jul. 27, 2026, which is 25% below its 10-year median of 1.48. GuruFocus rates FRA:DT3 with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of €129.15 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 240 Retail - Defensive companies, Dollar Tree ranks worse than 77.5% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-27), Dollar Tree's current share price is €105.80. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 was €95.20. Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.11.

The historical rank and industry rank for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:DT3' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.58   Med: 1.48   Max: 2.95
Current: 1.08

During the past years, Dollar Tree's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.95. The lowest was 0.58. And the median was 1.48.

FRA:DT3's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
77.5% of 240 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.44 vs FRA:DT3: 1.08

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Dollar Tree's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was €21.552. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is €95.20 for the trailing ten years ended in Apr. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Dollar Tree  (FRA:DT3) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Dollar Tree Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.51 1.57 1.29 0.69 1.07

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.75 1.03 0.90 1.07 0.87

FRA:DT3 vs DG, BJ, PSMT: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


FRA:DT3
79GF Score
Dollar Tree Inc FRA:DT3
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Dollar Tree Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=105.80/95.20
=1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Apr. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Dollar Tree's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Apr. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Apr. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Apr. 2026)
=21.552/333.0200*333.0200
=21.552

Current CPI (Apr. 2026) = 333.0200.

Dollar Tree Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201607 19.103 240.628 26.438
201610 19.170 241.729 26.410
201701 22.342 242.839 30.639
201704 20.787 244.524 28.310
201707 19.287 244.786 26.239
201710 19.026 246.663 25.687
201801 21.887 247.867 29.406
201804 18.978 250.546 25.225
201807 19.824 252.006 26.197
201810 20.187 252.885 26.584
201901 22.820 251.712 30.191
201904 21.622 255.548 28.177
201907 21.488 256.571 27.891
201910 21.872 257.346 28.304
202001 23.878 257.971 30.825
202004 24.363 256.389 31.645
202007 22.938 259.101 29.482
202010 22.070 260.388 28.226
202101 23.564 261.582 29.999
202104 23.110 267.054 28.818
202107 23.383 273.003 28.524
202110 24.500 276.589 29.499
202201 27.659 281.148 32.762
202204 28.370 289.109 32.679
202207 29.571 296.276 33.238
202210 31.587 298.012 35.298
202301 -21.735 299.170 -24.194
202304 30.128 303.363 33.073
202307 30.032 305.691 32.717
202310 31.602 307.671 34.206
202401 -21.815 308.417 -23.555
202404 17.815 313.548 18.921
202407 17.431 314.540 18.455
202410 18.519 315.664 19.537
202501 22.433 317.671 23.517
202504 19.305 320.795 20.041
202507 18.849 323.048 19.431
202510 20.025 0.000
202601 23.228 325.252 23.783
202604 21.552 333.020 21.552

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.11 mean?
Dollar Tree (FRA:DT3) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.11 as of Jul. 27, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. This is 25% below median its historical median of 1.48. Over the past decade, Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.58 to 2.95. According to the industry distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #186 out of 240 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 77.5%.
Is Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.11 is 25% below median its 10-year median of 1.48. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.58 to a high of 2.95. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.44. Dollar Tree's value of 1.11 is 152.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #186 out of 240 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Dollar Tree has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Dollar Tree's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to DG and BJ?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Dollar Tree ranks #186 out of 240 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Dollar Tree in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.44. Dollar Tree's value of 1.11 is 152.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Dollar Tree's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.58 to 2.95 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.48 vs. the industry median of 0.44, Dollar Tree has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.44, based on 240 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.11 is 152.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Dollar Tree and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.44 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Dollar Tree's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.11, which is 25% below median its own 10-year median of 1.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Dollar Tree stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree (FRA:DT3) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €129.15, compared to a current price of €105.80 — trading 18.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.11, which is 25% below median its 10-year median of 1.48 and 152.3% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 0.44. Dollar Tree's overall GF Score™ is 79/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Dollar Tree (FRA:DT3), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.11 as of Jul. 27, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Dollar Tree (FRA:DT3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Dollar Tree stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €105.80 is trading 18.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of €129.15. GuruFocus considers Dollar Tree to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for FRA:DT3:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.11 (25% below median its 10-year median of 1.48)
  • GF Value™: €129.15 vs. price of €105.80 (18.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 152.3% above the Retail - Defensive median (#186 of 240)

No single metric tells the full story. See the FRA:DT3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Dollar Tree Business Description

Address 500 Volvo Parkway, Chesapeake, VA, USA, 23320
Founded in 1986, Dollar Tree operates almost 9,000 small-box discount stores across the United States and Canada, offering roughly 85% of its merchandise under $2. The chain targets value-conscious suburban and urban shoppers with a mix of consumables (49% of sales), variety (45%), and seasonal goods (6%). In fiscal 2025, Dollar Tree generated over $19 billion in sales, through its multi-price strategy, higher-margin discretionary assortments, and private-label products that account for nearly one-third of sales.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FRA:DT3

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€105.80
Price
€129.15
GF Value