Alcoa (HAM:1850) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: (As of Aug. 29, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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HAM:1850 Alcoa Corp HAM:1850
67 GF Score
Price €43.60
GF Value €28.68
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Note: If the price history is too short, we do not calculate current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for this stock. All the historical data is shown as the company's primary share's data instead.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Alcoa  (HAM:1850) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.76

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.42 0.47 0.76 0.94 0.73

HAM:1850 vs : Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


HAM:1850
67GF Score
Alcoa Corp HAM:1850
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alcoa Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Alcoa's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Alcoa's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=12.942/333.9520*333.9520
=12.942

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201609 11.373 241.428 15.732
201612 13.147 241.432 18.185
201703 13.346 243.801 18.281
201706 13.680 244.955 18.650
201709 13.298 246.819 17.993
201712 14.342 246.524 19.428
201803 13.330 249.554 17.838
201806 16.210 251.989 21.483
201809 15.620 252.439 20.664
201812 15.552 251.233 20.673
201903 13.007 254.202 17.088
201906 12.899 256.143 16.817
201909 12.531 256.759 16.298
201912 11.851 256.974 15.401
202003 11.523 258.115 14.909
202006 10.255 257.797 13.284
202009 10.795 260.280 13.851
202012 10.571 260.474 13.553
202103 12.756 264.877 16.083
202106 12.376 271.696 15.212
202109 13.836 274.310 16.844
202112 15.557 278.802 18.634
202203 15.904 287.504 18.473
202206 18.533 296.311 20.887
202209 16.087 296.808 18.100
202212 14.123 296.797 15.891
202303 14.010 301.836 15.501
202306 13.918 305.109 15.234
202309 13.697 307.789 14.861
202312 13.369 306.746 14.555
202403 13.358 312.332 14.283
202406 14.915 314.175 15.854
202409 11.182 315.301 11.843
202412 12.563 315.605 13.293
202503 11.986 319.799 12.516
202506 10.064 322.561 10.419
202509 9.777 324.800 10.052
202512 11.157 324.054 11.498
202603 10.383 330.213 10.501
202606 12.942 333.952 12.942

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Is Alcoa (HAM:1850) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €43.60 is trading 52% above its estimated GF Value™ of €28.68. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HAM:1850:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio:
  • GF Value™: €28.68 vs. price of €43.60 (52% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:1850 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Comparable Companies
Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:1850

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€43.60
Price
€28.68
GF Value