Costco Wholesale (HAM:CTO) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.64 (As of Sep. 16, 2026) — 33% Above Median

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HAM:CTO Costco Wholesale Corp HAM:CTO
94 GF Score
Price €786.50
GF Value €893.78
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Costco Wholesale HAM:CTO -1.03% 94 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.64 as of Sep. 16, 2026, which is 33% above its 10-year median of 1.23. GuruFocus rates HAM:CTO with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of €893.78. The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 240 Retail - Defensive companies, Costco Wholesale ranks worse than 89.17% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-16), Costco Wholesale's current share price is €786.50. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 was €480.57. Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.64.

The historical rank and industry rank for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

HAM:CTO' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64   Med: 1.23   Max: 2.3
Current: 1.68

During the past years, Costco Wholesale's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 2.30. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 1.23.

HAM:CTO's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
89.17% of 240 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.45 vs HAM:CTO: 1.68

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Costco Wholesale's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was €136.279. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is €480.57 for the trailing ten years ended in May. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Costco Wholesale  (HAM:CTO) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Costco Wholesale Annual Data
Trend Aug16 Aug17 Aug18 Aug19 Aug20 Aug21 Aug22 Aug23 Aug24 Aug25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.37 1.59 1.35 1.98 1.82

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data
Nov20 Feb21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.10 1.80 1.73 1.82 1.69

HAM:CTO vs TGT, DG, DLTR: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Discount Stores subindustry, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


HAM:CTO
94GF Score
Costco Wholesale Corp HAM:CTO
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Costco Wholesale Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=786.50/480.571
=1.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in May. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Costco Wholesale's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in May. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of May. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (May. 2026)
=136.279/335.1230*335.1230
=136.279

Current CPI (May. 2026) = 335.1230.

Costco Wholesale Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201505 53.922 237.805 75.989
201508 72.762 238.316 102.319
201511 55.763 237.336 78.738
201602 58.345 237.111 82.462
201608 74.259 240.849 103.326
201611 57.965 241.353 80.485
201702 63.687 243.603 87.614
201708 83.276 245.519 113.668
201711 61.129 246.669 83.049
201802 61.689 248.991 83.029
201805 60.464 251.588 80.540
201808 86.271 252.146 114.661
201811 68.858 252.038 91.557
201902 70.320 252.776 93.228
201905 69.852 256.092 91.409
201908 95.591 256.558 124.864
201911 75.634 257.208 98.546
202002 79.760 258.678 103.331
202005 76.751 256.394 100.318
202008 104.399 259.918 134.606
202011 82.416 260.229 106.135
202102 83.008 263.014 105.766
202108 118.685 273.567 145.391
202111 97.683 277.948 117.777
202202 103.065 283.716 121.740
202208 157.498 296.171 178.212
202211 122.695 297.711 138.114
202302 116.519 300.840 129.797
202308 162.531 307.026 177.405
202311 121.685 307.051 132.810
202402 120.924 310.326 130.587
202405 121.805 314.069 129.970
202408 164.664 314.796 175.297
202411 128.419 315.493 136.409
202502 137.491 319.082 144.403
202505 127.960 321.465 133.397
202508 166.891 323.976 172.633
202511 129.988 324.122 134.400
202602 133.266 326.785 136.666
202605 136.279 335.123 136.279

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.64 mean?
Costco Wholesale (HAM:CTO) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.64 as of Sep. 16, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. This is 33% above median its historical median of 1.23. Over the past decade, Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.64 to 2.30. According to the industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #214 out of 240 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, placing it in the top 89.2%.
Is Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.64 is 33% above median its 10-year median of 1.23. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.64 to a high of 2.30. The Retail - Defensive industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45. Costco Wholesale's value of 1.64 is 264.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #214 out of 240 companies in the Retail - Defensive industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Costco Wholesale has a GF Score™ of 94/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Costco Wholesale's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to TGT and DG?
According to the Retail - Defensive industry distribution chart, Costco Wholesale ranks #214 out of 240 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Costco Wholesale in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45. Costco Wholesale's value of 1.64 is 264.4% above this benchmark. Historically, Costco Wholesale's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.64 to 2.30 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.23 vs. the industry median of 0.45, Costco Wholesale has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Retail - Defensive company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Retail - Defensive companies is 0.45, based on 240 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.64 is 264.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Costco Wholesale and its competitors. For the Retail - Defensive industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 0.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Costco Wholesale's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.64, which is 33% above median its own 10-year median of 1.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued right now?
Costco Wholesale (HAM:CTO) has a current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.64. The stock's GF Value™ is €893.78, compared to a current price of €786.50 — trading 12% below its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.64, which is 33% above median its 10-year median of 1.23 and 264.4% above the Retail - Defensive industry median of 0.45. Costco Wholesale's overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Costco Wholesale (HAM:CTO), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.64 as of Sep. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Costco Wholesale (HAM:CTO) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Costco Wholesale stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €786.50 is trading 12% below its estimated GF Value™ of €893.78.

Key valuation signals for HAM:CTO:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.64 (33% above median its 10-year median of 1.23)
  • GF Value™: €893.78 vs. price of €786.50 (12% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 264.4% above the Retail - Defensive median (#214 of 240)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:CTO stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Costco Wholesale Business Description

Address 999 Lake Drive, Issaquah, WA, USA, 98027
Founded in 1983, Costco Wholesale now operates a global chain of membership-based warehouse clubs, delivering high-quality goods and services at consistently low prices. As of its most recent fiscal year, Costco operated approximately 910 warehouses, serving more than 80 million members across its three geographic segments: Costco US (approximately 73% of total revenue), Costco Canada (13%), and Costco International (14%).Costco's core value proposition—quality products at unbeatable prices—has yielded consistently strong member renewal rates (93% in the US and Canada and nearly 90% internationally). About 55% of Costco's fiscal 2025 revenue came from its grocery offerings, and another 25% from general merchandise.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:CTO

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€786.50
Price
€893.78
GF Value