NVAX (Novavax) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.41 (As of Aug. 10, 2026) — 84% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NVAX Novavax Inc NVAX
42 GF Score
Price $7.88
GF Value $3.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Novavax Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Novavax NVAX -0.94% 42 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.41 as of Aug. 10, 2026, which is 84% below its 10-year median of 8.74. GuruFocus rates NVAX with a GF Score™ of 42/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 539 Biotechnology companies, Novavax ranks better than 79.59% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-10), Novavax's current share price is $7.875. Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 was $5.57. Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 1.41.

The historical rank and industry rank for Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

NVAX' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.82   Med: 8.74   Max: 130.13
Current: 1.43

During the past years, Novavax's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 130.13. The lowest was 0.82. And the median was 8.74.

NVAX's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked better than
79.59% of 539 companies
in the Biotechnology industry
Industry Median: 5.71 vs NVAX: 1.43

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Novavax's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was $0.345. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is $5.57 for the trailing ten years ended in Jun. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Novavax  (NAS:NVAX) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Novavax Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Novavax Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Novavax Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Novavax Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.42 2.39 1.01 1.62 1.26

Novavax Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.18 1.62 1.26 1.48 1.69

NVAX vs JBIO, AVLN, TRAX: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Novavax Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


NVAX
42GF Score
Novavax Inc NVAX
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Novavax Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=7.875/5.57
=1.41

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Novavax's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=0.345/333.9520*333.9520
=0.345

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Novavax Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201609 0.238 241.428 0.329
201612 0.398 241.432 0.551
201703 0.414 243.801 0.567
201706 0.475 244.955 0.648
201709 0.563 246.819 0.762
201712 0.658 246.524 0.891
201803 0.573 249.554 0.767
201806 0.573 251.989 0.759
201809 0.405 252.439 0.536
201812 0.320 251.233 0.425
201903 0.195 254.202 0.256
201906 0.143 256.143 0.186
201909 0.103 256.759 0.134
201912 0.314 256.974 0.408
202003 0.076 258.115 0.098
202006 0.606 257.797 0.785
202009 2.551 260.280 3.273
202012 -2.638 260.474 -3.382
202103 6.123 264.877 7.720
202106 4.021 271.696 4.942
202109 2.393 274.310 2.913
202112 -9.599 278.802 -11.498
202203 7.492 287.504 8.702
202206 2.379 296.311 2.681
202209 8.027 296.808 9.032
202212 3.605 296.797 4.056
202303 -0.075 301.836 -0.083
202306 4.078 305.109 4.464
202309 0.213 307.789 0.231
202312 2.045 306.746 2.226
202403 0.671 312.332 0.717
202406 2.505 314.175 2.663
202409 0.528 315.301 0.559
202412 0.551 315.605 0.583
202503 3.753 319.799 3.919
202506 1.350 322.561 1.398
202509 0.434 324.800 0.446
202512 0.783 324.054 0.807
202603 0.854 330.213 0.864
202606 0.345 333.952 0.345

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.41 mean?
Novavax (NVAX) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.41 as of Aug. 10, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Novavax and its competitors. This is 84% below median its historical median of 8.74. Over the past decade, Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.82 to 130.13. According to the industry distribution chart, Novavax ranks #110 out of 539 companies in the Biotechnology industry, placing it in the top 20.4%.
Is Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Novavax's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.41 is 84% below median its 10-year median of 8.74. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.82 to a high of 130.13. The Biotechnology industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 5.71. Novavax's value of 1.41 is 75.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Novavax ranks #110 out of 539 companies in the Biotechnology industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Novavax has a GF Score™ of 42/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Novavax's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to JBIO and AVLN?
According to the Biotechnology industry distribution chart, Novavax ranks #110 out of 539 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Novavax in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 5.71. Novavax's value of 1.41 is 75.3% below this benchmark. Historically, Novavax's own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.82 to 130.13 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 8.74 vs. the industry median of 5.71, Novavax has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Biotechnology company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Biotechnology companies is 5.71, based on 539 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Novavax's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 1.41 is 75.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Novavax and its competitors. For the Biotechnology industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 5.71 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Novavax's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.41, which is 84% below median its own 10-year median of 8.74. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Novavax stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novavax (NVAX) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.26, compared to a current price of $7.88 — trading 141.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.41, which is 84% below median its 10-year median of 8.74 and 75.3% below the Biotechnology industry median of 5.71. Novavax's overall GF Score™ is 42/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Novavax (NVAX), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 1.41 as of Aug. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Novavax (NVAX) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Novavax stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $7.88 is trading 141.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.26. GuruFocus considers Novavax to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for NVAX:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 1.41 (84% below median its 10-year median of 8.74)
  • GF Value™: $3.26 vs. price of $7.88 (141.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 42/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 75.3% below the Biotechnology median (#110 of 539)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NVAX stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Novavax Business Description

Address 21 Firstfield Road, Gaithersburg, MD, USA, 20878
Novavax Inc is a biotechnology company that develops vaccines. The company works in the clinical stage of development with a focus on delivering novel products that prevent a broad range of diseases. It works together with its wholly owned Swedish subsidiary to produce vaccine candidates to respond to both known and emerging disease threats. The company believes its vaccine technology has the potential to be applied broadly to a wide variety of human infectious diseases. The company manages its business as one operating segment, an in-house early-stage R&D business to build a pipeline of high-value assets using its technology along with seeking to enter into partnerships to drive value creation for its assets.
42GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NVAX

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$7.88
Price
$3.26
GF Value