Morgan Stanley (STU:DWD) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: (As of Aug. 06, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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STU:DWD Morgan Stanley STU:DWD
75 GF Score
Price €189.30
GF Value €136.78
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Morgan Stanley  (STU:DWD) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Morgan Stanley Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.30 3.32 3.39 4.23 5.49

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.53 4.99 5.49 4.89 0.00

STU:DWD vs GS, SCHW, HOOD: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


STU:DWD
75GF Score
Morgan Stanley STU:DWD
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Morgan Stanley Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Morgan Stanley's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Jun. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Morgan Stanley's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Jun. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Jun. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Jun. 2026)
=11/333.9520*333.9520
=11.000

Current CPI (Jun. 2026) = 333.9520.

Morgan Stanley Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201609 3.992 241.428 5.522
201612 4.367 241.432 6.040
201703 4.688 243.801 6.421
201706 4.366 244.955 5.952
201709 4.003 246.819 5.416
201712 4.222 246.524 5.719
201803 4.785 249.554 6.403
201806 4.898 251.989 6.491
201809 4.621 252.439 6.113
201812 4.099 251.233 5.449
201903 5.115 254.202 6.720
201906 5.141 256.143 6.703
201909 5.243 256.759 6.819
201912 5.814 256.974 7.556
202003 5.200 258.115 6.728
202006 7.382 257.797 9.563
202009 5.977 260.280 7.669
202012 5.852 260.474 7.503
202103 6.842 264.877 8.626
202106 6.296 271.696 7.739
202109 6.534 274.310 7.955
202112 6.803 278.802 8.149
202203 7.201 287.504 8.364
202206 6.728 296.311 7.583
202209 7.225 296.808 8.129
202212 6.698 296.797 7.536
202303 7.658 301.836 8.473
202306 7.034 305.109 7.699
202309 7.082 307.789 7.684
202312 6.789 306.746 7.391
202403 8.093 312.332 8.653
202406 8.087 314.175 8.596
202409 8.029 315.301 8.504
202412 8.934 315.605 9.453
202503 9.549 319.799 9.972
202506 8.493 322.561 8.793
202509 9.154 324.800 9.412
202512 9.026 324.054 9.302
202603 10.606 330.213 10.726
202606 11.000 333.952 11.000

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

Is Morgan Stanley (STU:DWD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Morgan Stanley stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €189.30 is trading 38.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of €136.78. GuruFocus considers Morgan Stanley to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for STU:DWD:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio:
  • GF Value™: €136.78 vs. price of €189.30 (38.4% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 75/100 with 8 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the STU:DWD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Morgan Stanley Business Description

Address 1585 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Morgan Stanley is a massive global financial services firm, with offices in 42 countries and more than 82,000 employees as of year-end 2025. The firm cut its teeth in investment banking and institutional trading, where it maintains a strong presence today, but generates the lion share of its income from wealth and asset management franchises, where it boasted $9.3 trillion in client assets at the end of 2025. After reincorporation as a bank holding company in the wake of the global financial crisis, Morgan Stanley also boasts a top 10 banking franchise by deposits, with more than $400 billion in customer deposits, predominately attributable to cash sweeps from its wealth management and brokerage businesses.
75GF Score

Get the complete analysis for STU:DWD

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€189.30
Price
€136.78
GF Value