Nomura Holdings (TSE:8604) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 3.48 (As of Jul. 29, 2026) — 130% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:8604 Nomura Holdings Inc TSE:8604
66 GF Score
Price 円1,571.00
GF Value 円1,191.90
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Nomura Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio?

Nomura Holdings TSE:8604 -2.15% 66 Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.48 as of Jul. 29, 2026, which is 130% above its 10-year median of 1.51. GuruFocus rates TSE:8604 with a GF Score™ of 66/100 and a GF Value™ of 円1,191.90 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 605 Capital Markets companies, Nomura Holdings ranks worse than 50.91% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-29), Nomura Holdings's current share price is 円1571.00. Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was 円450.82. Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is 3.48.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8604' s Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.91   Med: 1.51   Max: 3.55
Current: 3.48

During the past years, Nomura Holdings's highest Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio was 3.55. The lowest was 0.91. And the median was 1.51.

TSE:8604's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is ranked worse than
50.91% of 605 companies
in the Capital Markets industry
Industry Median: 3.34 vs TSE:8604: 3.48

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. The Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted revenue per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Nomura Holdings's adjusted revenue per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was 円131.060. Add all the adjusted revenue per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share, which is 円450.82 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Nomura Holdings  (TSE:8604) Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Explanation

Compared with the regular PS Ratio, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio smoothed out the fluctuations of revenue during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should give similar results to regular PS Ratio.


Nomura Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Related Terms


Nomura Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nomura Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Chart

Nomura Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.34 1.33 2.46 2.15 2.67

Nomura Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.15 2.22 2.49 2.92 2.67

TSE:8604 vs MS, GS, SCHW: Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Comparison

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nomura Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio vs Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio falls into.


TSE:8604
66GF Score
Nomura Holdings Inc TSE:8604
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Nomura Holdings Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio takes the Revenue per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/S calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPS Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio.

Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share
=1571.00/450.82
=3.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Nomura Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 is calculated as:

For example, Nomura Holdings's adjusted Revenue per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_RevenuePerShare=Revenue per Share/CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=131.06/112.7000*112.7000
=131.060

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 112.7000.

Nomura Holdings Quarterly Data

Revenue per Share CPI Adj_RevenuePerShare
201606 85.349 98.100 98.051
201609 88.442 98.000 101.708
201612 95.557 98.400 109.444
201703 80.458 98.100 92.432
201706 93.515 98.500 106.996
201709 90.974 98.800 103.773
201712 108.948 99.400 123.526
201803 72.235 99.200 82.065
201806 72.242 99.200 82.073
201809 106.508 99.900 120.155
201812 70.868 99.700 80.109
201903 77.434 99.700 87.531
201906 90.749 99.800 102.479
201909 106.496 100.100 119.901
201912 95.932 100.500 107.577
202003 67.433 100.300 75.770
202006 138.452 99.900 156.192
202009 108.590 99.900 122.503
202012 119.034 99.300 135.097
202103 46.062 99.900 51.964
202106 91.936 99.500 104.133
202109 91.660 100.100 103.198
202112 103.333 100.100 116.340
202203 76.429 101.100 85.198
202206 86.849 101.800 96.148
202209 93.677 103.100 102.400
202212 116.170 104.100 125.767
202303 80.003 104.400 86.363
202306 100.718 105.200 107.898
202309 106.088 106.200 112.581
202312 116.541 106.800 122.979
202403 114.936 107.200 120.833
202406 133.247 108.200 138.789
202409 143.616 108.900 148.627
202412 149.464 110.700 152.164
202503 115.790 111.100 117.458
202506 155.783 111.700 157.178
202509 155.078 112.000 156.047
202512 164.138 113.000 163.702
202603 131.060 112.700 131.060

Add all the adjusted revenue per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted Revenue per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

What does a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.48 mean?
Nomura Holdings (TSE:8604) has a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.48 as of Jul. 29, 2026. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Nomura Holdings and its competitors. This is 130% above median its historical median of 1.51. Over the past decade, Nomura Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.91 to 3.55. According to the industry distribution chart, Nomura Holdings ranks #308 out of 605 companies in the Capital Markets industry, placing it in the top 50.9%.
Is Nomura Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio too high?
Nomura Holdings' current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.48 is 130% above median its 10-year median of 1.51. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.91 to a high of 3.55. The Capital Markets industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.34. Nomura Holdings' value of 3.48 is 4.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Nomura Holdings ranks #308 out of 605 companies in the Capital Markets industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Nomura Holdings has a GF Score™ of 66/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Nomura Holdings' Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio compare to MS and GS?
According to the Capital Markets industry distribution chart, Nomura Holdings ranks #308 out of 605 companies for Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio. This places Nomura Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.34. Nomura Holdings' value of 3.48 is 4.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Nomura Holdings' own Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio has ranged from 0.91 to 3.55 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.51 vs. the industry median of 3.34, Nomura Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio for a Capital Markets company?
The median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio among Capital Markets companies is 3.34, based on 605 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Nomura Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio of 3.48 is 4.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio mean?
A high Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is the ratio of share price to a company's inflation-adjusted revenue per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Nomura Holdings and its competitors. For the Capital Markets industry, the median Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Nomura Holdings's current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.48, which is 130% above median its own 10-year median of 1.51. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Nomura Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nomura Holdings (TSE:8604) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円1,191.90, compared to a current price of 円1,571.00 — trading 31.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.48, which is 130% above median its 10-year median of 1.51 and 4.2% above the Capital Markets industry median of 3.34. Nomura Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 66/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio calculated?
Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Nomura Holdings (TSE:8604), the current Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is 3.48 as of Jul. 29, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Nomura Holdings (TSE:8604) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Nomura Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円1,571.00 is trading 31.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,191.90. GuruFocus considers Nomura Holdings to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8604:

  • Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio: 3.48 (130% above median its 10-year median of 1.51)
  • GF Value™: 円1,191.90 vs. price of 円1,571.00 (31.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 66/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 4.2% above the Capital Markets median (#308 of 605)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8604 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Nomura Holdings Business Description

Address 13-1, Nihonbashi 1-chome, Chuo-Ku, Tokyo, JPN, 103-8645
Nomura Holdings Inc is a financial services group in Japan and operates offices in countries and regions world-wide, including Japan, the U.S., the U.K., Singapore, and the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region ("Hong Kong") through its subsidiaries. The company's clients include individuals, corporations, financial institutions, governments, and governmental agencies. The company's business consists of Wealth Management*, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the wholesale segment. The Wholesale Division consists of two businesses, Global Markets, which is mainly engaged in the trading, sales, and structuring of financial products, and Investment Banking, which is engaged in advisory, financing, and solutions businesses.
66GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8604

Cyclically Adjusted PS Ratio is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円1,571.00
Price
円1,191.90
GF Value