AECI (JSE:AFE) Debt-to-EBITDA : 2.37 (As of Dec. 2025) — 20% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

JSE:AFE AECI Ltd JSE:AFE
70 GF Score
Price R123.06
GF Value R91.26
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is AECI Debt-to-EBITDA?

AECI JSE:AFE -0.25% 70 Debt-to-EBITDA is 2.37 as of Dec. 2025, which is 20% above its 10-year median of 1.98. GuruFocus rates JSE:AFE with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of R91.26 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,239 Chemicals companies, AECI ranks worse than 55.53% on this metric.

Debt-to-EBITDA measures a company's ability to pay off its debt.

AECI's Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2025 was R940 Mil. AECI's Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2025 was R3,497 Mil. AECI's annualized EBITDA for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2025 was R1,870 Mil. AECI's annualized Debt-to-EBITDA for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2025 was 2.37.

A high Debt-to-EBITDA ratio generally means that a company may spend more time to paying off its debt. According to Joel Tillinghast's BIG MONEY THINKS SMALL: Biases, Blind Spots, and Smarter Investing, a ratio of Debt-to-EBITDA exceeding four is usually considered scary unless tangible assets cover the debt.

The historical rank and industry rank for AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:AFE' s Debt-to-EBITDA Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.8   Med: 1.98   Max: 3.62
Current: 2.62

During the past 13 years, the highest Debt-to-EBITDA Ratio of AECI was 3.62. The lowest was 0.80. And the median was 1.98.

JSE:AFE's Debt-to-EBITDA is ranked worse than
55.53% of 1239 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 2.15 vs JSE:AFE: 2.62

AECI  (JSE:AFE) Debt-to-EBITDA Explanation

In the calculation of Debt-to-EBITDA, we use the total of Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation and Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation divided by EBITDA. In some calculations, Total Liabilities is used to for calculation.


Be Aware

A high Debt-to-EBITDA ratio generally means that a company may spend more time to paying off its debt.

According to Joel Tillinghast's BIG MONEY THINKS SMALL: Biases, Blind Spots, and Smarter Investing, a ratio of Debt-to-EBITDA exceeding four is usually considered scary unless tangible assets cover the debt.


AECI Debt-to-EBITDA Related Terms


AECI Debt-to-EBITDA Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

AECI Debt-to-EBITDA Chart

AECI Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Debt-to-EBITDA
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.53 2.37 1.75 3.62 2.62

AECI Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Debt-to-EBITDA Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.51 4.60 3.41 3.42 2.37

JSE:AFE vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Debt-to-EBITDA Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA, along with its competitors' market caps and Debt-to-EBITDA data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


AECI Debt-to-EBITDA vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA falls into.


JSE:AFE
70GF Score
AECI Ltd JSE:AFE
Debt-to-EBITDA is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

AECI Debt-to-EBITDA Calculation

Debt-to-EBITDA measures a company's ability to pay off its debt.

AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as

Debt-to-EBITDA=Total Debt / EBITDA
=(Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation) / EBITDA
=(940 + 3497) / 1696
=2.62

AECI's annualized Debt-to-EBITDA for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2025 is calculated as

Debt-to-EBITDA=Total Debt / EBITDA
=(Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation) / EBITDA
=(940 + 3497) / 1870
=2.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

In the calculation of annual Debt-to-EBITDA, the EBITDA of the last fiscal year is used. In calculating the annualized quarterly data, the EBITDA data used here is two times the quarterly (Dec. 2025) EBITDA data.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Debt-to-EBITDA →
What does a Debt-to-EBITDA of 2.37 mean?
AECI (JSE:AFE) has a Debt-to-EBITDA of 2.37 as of Dec. 2025. Debt-to-EBITDA ratio represents the ratio of total debt to total earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. View historical data on AECI. This is 20% above median its historical median of 1.98. Over the past decade, AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA has ranged from 0.80 to 3.62. According to the industry distribution chart, AECI ranks #688 out of 1239 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 55.5%.
Is AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA too high?
AECI's current Debt-to-EBITDA of 2.37 is 20% above median its 10-year median of 1.98. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.80 to a high of 3.62. The Chemicals industry median Debt-to-EBITDA is 2.15. AECI's value of 2.37 is 10.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, AECI ranks #688 out of 1239 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, AECI has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does AECI's Debt-to-EBITDA compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, AECI ranks #688 out of 1239 companies for Debt-to-EBITDA. This places AECI in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Debt-to-EBITDA is 2.15. AECI's value of 2.37 is 10.2% above this benchmark. Historically, AECI's own Debt-to-EBITDA has ranged from 0.80 to 3.62 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.98 vs. the industry median of 2.15, AECI has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Debt-to-EBITDA for a Chemicals company?
The median Debt-to-EBITDA among Chemicals companies is 2.15, based on 1,239 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Debt-to-EBITDA significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Debt-to-EBITDA should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. AECI's current Debt-to-EBITDA of 2.37 is 10.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Debt-to-EBITDA mean?
A high Debt-to-EBITDA can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Debt-to-EBITDA ratio represents the ratio of total debt to total earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. View historical data on AECI. For the Chemicals industry, the median Debt-to-EBITDA is 2.15 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. AECI's current Debt-to-EBITDA is 2.37, which is 20% above median its own 10-year median of 1.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is AECI stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AECI (JSE:AFE) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is R91.26, compared to a current price of R123.06 — trading 34.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Debt-to-EBITDA is 2.37, which is 20% above median its 10-year median of 1.98 and 10.2% above the Chemicals industry median of 2.15. AECI's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Debt-to-EBITDA calculated?
Debt-to-EBITDA is calculated from a company's financial statements. For AECI (JSE:AFE), the current Debt-to-EBITDA is 2.37 as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is AECI (JSE:AFE) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, AECI stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of R123.06 is trading 34.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of R91.26. GuruFocus considers AECI to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for JSE:AFE:

  • Debt-to-EBITDA: 2.37 (20% above median its 10-year median of 1.98)
  • GF Value™: R91.26 vs. price of R123.06 (34.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 10.2% above the Chemicals median (#688 of 1239)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:AFE stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


AECI Business Description

Address Woodlands Drive, 24 The Woodlands, First Floor, AECI Place, Woodmead, Sandton, Johannesburg, ZAF, 2191
AECI Ltd is a diversified group operating predominantly in the chemicals industry. The company performs its various business activities in the following reportable segments: AECI Mining, AECI Chemicals, AECI Managed Businesses, and AECI Property Services and Corporate. A majority of its revenue is generated from the AECI Mining segment, which provides a mine-to-mineral solution for the international mining sector. The offerings under this segment include commercial explosives, initiating systems, blasting services, and surfactants for explosives manufacture across the value chain to chemicals for ore beneficiation and tailings treatment. Geographically, the group generates a majority of its revenue from Africa, followed by Asia-Pacific, Europe, North America, and Latin America.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JSE:AFE

Debt-to-EBITDA is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R123.06
Price
R91.26
GF Value