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Ecopetrol (BSP:E1CO34) E10 : R$3.23 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Ecopetrol E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ecopetrol's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was R$1.258. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is R$3.23 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Ecopetrol's average E10 Growth Rate was -1.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 5.90% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 4.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Ecopetrol was 5.90% per year. The lowest was 1.10% per year. And the median was 3.25% per year.

As of today (2024-05-01), Ecopetrol's current stock price is R$30.33. Ecopetrol's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was R$3.23. Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 9.39.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Ecopetrol was 19.02. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 10.21.


Ecopetrol E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ecopetrol's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ecopetrol E10 Chart

Ecopetrol Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.35 3.15 2.88 3.23

Ecopetrol Quarterly Data
Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.05 2.88 2.83 3.27 3.23

Competitive Comparison of Ecopetrol's E10

For the Oil & Gas Integrated subindustry, Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ecopetrol's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Ecopetrol E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ecopetrol's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.258/129.4194*129.4194
=1.258

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Ecopetrol Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201312 0.722 98.326 0.950
201403 1.172 99.695 1.521
201406 0.753 100.560 0.969
201409 0.525 100.428 0.677
201412 -0.289 99.070 -0.378
201503 0.049 99.621 0.064
201506 0.447 100.684 0.575
201509 0.205 100.392 0.264
201512 -1.894 99.792 -2.456
201603 0.102 100.470 0.131
201606 0.211 101.688 0.269
201609 0.062 101.861 0.079
201612 0.049 101.863 0.062
201703 0.234 102.862 0.294
201706 0.344 103.349 0.431
201709 0.260 104.136 0.323
201712 0.911 104.011 1.134
201803 0.725 105.290 0.891
201806 1.117 106.317 1.360
201809 0.911 106.507 1.107
201812 0.881 105.998 1.076
201903 0.833 107.251 1.005
201906 0.969 108.070 1.160
201909 0.889 108.329 1.062
201912 1.504 108.420 1.795
202003 0.045 108.902 0.053
202006 0.008 108.767 0.010
202009 0.304 109.815 0.358
202012 0.237 109.897 0.279
202103 1.166 111.754 1.350
202106 1.240 114.631 1.400
202109 1.302 115.734 1.456
202112 2.121 117.630 2.334
202203 0.020 121.301 0.021
202206 3.408 125.017 3.528
202209 2.737 125.227 2.829
202212 1.833 125.222 1.894
202303 0.015 127.348 0.015
202309 1.507 129.860 1.502
202312 1.258 129.419 1.258

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Ecopetrol  (BSP:E1CO34) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ecopetrol's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=30.33/3.23
=9.39

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Ecopetrol was 19.02. The lowest was 0.92. And the median was 10.21.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Ecopetrol E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ecopetrol's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ecopetrol (BSP:E1CO34) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Carrera 13 No. 36 - 24, Main Building, Bogota, COL
Ecopetrol SA is a vertically integrated oil company with operations in Latin America and the United States Gulf Coast. Based out of Colombia, the company explores, develops, and conducts production activities in various countries. Ecopetrol works as the primary operator or partner in a joint venture, in a host of assets held onshore and offshore. Along with production, the company refines and markets crude oils and byproducts produced from its fields. Crude products are moved by Ecopetrol through a series of pipelines throughout Colombia, along with a network of third-party production centers and facilities.

Ecopetrol (BSP:E1CO34) Headlines

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