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Ferguson (Ferguson) E10 : $5.16 (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Ferguson E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Ferguson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $1.580. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $5.16 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Ferguson's average E10 Growth Rate was 10.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 19.80% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Ferguson was 19.80% per year. The lowest was -5.70% per year. And the median was -2.90% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Ferguson's current stock price is $213.33. Ferguson's E10 for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $5.16. Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 41.34.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Ferguson was 49.01. The lowest was 23.72. And the median was 35.91.


Ferguson E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ferguson's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ferguson E10 Chart

Ferguson Annual Data
Trend Jul14 Jul15 Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.53 2.90 3.41 4.34 4.98

Ferguson Quarterly Data
Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.68 4.84 4.98 5.16 5.16

Competitive Comparison of Ferguson's E10

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ferguson's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Ferguson E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ferguson's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=1.58/130.0000*130.0000
=1.580

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 130.0000.

Ferguson Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
200801 0.224 84.100 0.346
200807 0.030 86.600 0.045
200901 -7.066 86.600 -10.607
200907 -3.374 88.000 -4.984
201001 -1.423 88.800 -2.083
201007 -0.736 90.000 -1.063
201101 0.845 91.800 1.197
201107 0.935 93.500 1.300
201201 1.067 94.700 1.465
201207 -0.733 95.700 -0.996
201301 0.780 97.000 1.045
201307 0.931 98.000 1.235
201401 1.477 98.700 1.945
201407 1.893 99.600 2.471
201501 -0.355 99.200 -0.465
201507 1.703 100.000 2.214
201601 1.574 99.900 2.048
201607 1.980 100.900 2.551
201701 1.140 101.800 1.456
201707 2.697 103.500 3.388
201801 1.820 104.500 2.264
201807 3.299 105.900 4.050
201901 2.528 106.400 3.089
201907 2.250 108.000 2.708
202001 2.055 108.300 2.467
202007 2.180 109.200 2.595
202010 1.490 109.200 1.774
202101 0.410 109.300 0.488
202104 1.640 110.400 1.931
202107 3.010 111.400 3.513
202110 2.510 113.400 2.877
202201 1.970 114.600 2.235
202204 2.500 119.000 2.731
202207 2.700 121.200 2.896
202210 2.840 124.300 2.970
202301 1.800 124.800 1.875
202304 1.630 128.300 1.652
202307 2.850 129.000 2.872
202310 2.540 130.200 2.536
202401 1.580 130.000 1.580

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Ferguson  (NYSE:FERG) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Ferguson's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=213.33/5.16
=41.34

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Ferguson was 49.01. The lowest was 23.72. And the median was 35.91.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Ferguson E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ferguson's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ferguson (Ferguson) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1020 Eskdale Road, Winnersh Triangle, Wokingham, Berkshire, GBR, RG41 5TS
Ferguson distributes plumbing and HVAC products primarily to repair, maintenance and improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure markets. It serves over 1 million customers and sources products from 37,000 suppliers. Ferguson engages customers through approximately 1,700 North American branches, over the phone, online, and in residential showrooms. In fiscal 2023, Ferguson derived 95% of its nearly $30 billion of sales in the U.S. According to Modern Distribution Management, Ferguson is the largest industrial and construction distributor in North America. The firm sold its U.K. business in 2021 and is now solely focused on the North American market.
Executives
Kevin Michael Murphy director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Samantha J Long officer: Chief Human Resources Officer ONE KELLOGG SQUARE, PO BOX 3599, BATTLE CREEK MI 49016-3599
Ian T. Graham officer: Chief Legal Officer C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Jake Schlicher officer: See Remarks C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Richard Winckler officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Michael Jacobs officer: Senior VP of Supply Chain 33 COFFEE LANE, WATERBURY VT 05676
Garland Williams officer: Senior Vice President C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Thees William T. Jr officer: See Remarks C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Geoff Drabble director, other: Chairman C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
James A. Paisley officer: See Remarks 500 VOLVO PARKWAY, CHESAPEAKE VA 23320
William Brundage director, officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Victoria Morrissey officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Brian May director C/O FERGUSON PLC, 1020 ESKDALE ROAD, WINNERSH TRIANGLE, WOKINGHAM, BERKSHIRE X0 RG41 5TS
Alan J. Murray director 11125 GULF SHORE DRIVE, NAPLES FL 34108
James S Metcalf director USG CORP, 125 S FRANKLIN STREET DEPT 188, CHICAGO IL 60606

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