FERG (Ferguson Enterprises) Beneish M-Score: -2.48 (As of Jun. 24, 2026)


FERG Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG
88 GF Score
Price $236.68
GF Value $229.79
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score?

Ferguson Enterprises FERG +1.12% 88 Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates FERG with a GF Score™ of 88/100 and a GF Value™ of $229.79 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 151 Industrial Distribution companies, Ferguson Enterprises ranks worse than 66.23% on this metric.

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.48 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FERG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.74   Med: -2.49   Max: -1.45
Current: -2.48

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Ferguson Enterprises was -1.45. The lowest was -2.74. And the median was -2.49.


Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score Chart

Ferguson Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Jul16 Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23 Jul24 Jul25
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 -1.97 -2.67 -2.52 -2.43

Ferguson Enterprises Quarterly Data
Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Mar26
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.50 -2.49 -2.43 -2.46 -2.48

FERG vs FAST, GWW, WCC: Beneish M-Score Comparison

For the Industrial Distribution subindustry, Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score vs Industrial Distribution Industry

For the Industrial Distribution industry and Industrials sector, Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ferguson Enterprises's Beneish M-Score falls into.


FERG
88GF Score
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG
Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Ferguson Enterprises Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Ferguson Enterprises for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0794+0.528 * 0.976+0.404 * 0.9148+0.892 * 1.0622+0.115 * 1.026
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9889+4.679 * -0.018607-0.327 * 1.0113
=-2.48

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar26) TTM:Last Year (Jan25) TTM:
Total Receivables was $3,669 Mil.
Revenue was 7472 + 8169 + 8497 + 7621 = $31,759 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2318 + 2506 + 2694 + 2359 = $9,877 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $10,165 Mil.
Total Assets was $17,789 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,824 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $382 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $6,502 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,698 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,470 Mil.
Net Income was 414 + 570 + 700 + 410 = $2,094 Mil.
Non Operating Income was 0 + 0 + 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 772 + 430 + 541 + 682 = $2,425 Mil.
Total Receivables was $3,200 Mil.
Revenue was 6872 + 7772 + 7946 + 7308 = $29,898 Mil.
Gross Profit was 2042 + 2340 + 2461 + 2232 = $9,075 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $9,225 Mil.
Total Assets was $16,530 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $3,445 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $354 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $6,190 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $5,057 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $5,205 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(3669 / 31759) / (3200 / 29898)
=0.115526 / 0.107031
=1.0794

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(9075 / 29898) / (9877 / 31759)
=0.303532 / 0.310998
=0.976

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (10165 + 3824) / 17789) / (1 - (9225 + 3445) / 16530)
=0.213615 / 0.233515
=0.9148

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=31759 / 29898
=1.0622

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(354 / (354 + 3445)) / (382 / (382 + 3824))
=0.093182 / 0.090823
=1.026

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(6502 / 31759) / (6190 / 29898)
=0.204729 / 0.207037
=0.9889

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((5470 + 5698) / 17789) / ((5205 + 5057) / 16530)
=0.627804 / 0.620811
=1.0113

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(2094 - 0 - 2425) / 17789
=-0.018607

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Ferguson Enterprises has a M-score of -2.48 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Beneish M-Score →
What does a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 mean?
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) has a Beneish M-Score of -2.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ferguson Enterprises and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Ferguson Enterprises ranks #100 out of 151 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, placing it in the top 66.2%.
Is Ferguson Enterprises' Beneish M-Score too high?
Ferguson Enterprises' current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Based on the distribution chart, Ferguson Enterprises ranks #100 out of 151 companies in the Industrial Distribution industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Ferguson Enterprises has a GF Score™ of 88/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ferguson Enterprises' Beneish M-Score compare to FAST and GWW?
According to the Industrial Distribution industry distribution chart, Ferguson Enterprises ranks #100 out of 151 companies for Beneish M-Score. This places Ferguson Enterprises in the lower half of its industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Beneish M-Score for an Industrial Distribution company?
A good Beneish M-Score depends on the Industrial Distribution industry context. However, Beneish M-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Beneish M-Score mean?
A high Beneish M-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Beneish M-score measures the likelihood of earnings manipulation. View historical data on Ferguson Enterprises and its competitors. Ferguson Enterprises's current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ferguson Enterprises stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $229.79, compared to a current price of $236.68 — trading 3% above its estimated fair value. The current Beneish M-Score is -2.48. Ferguson Enterprises' overall GF Score™ is 88/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Beneish M-Score calculated?
Beneish M-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ferguson Enterprises (FERG), the current Beneish M-Score is -2.48 as of Jun. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ferguson Enterprises stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $236.68 is trading 3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $229.79. GuruFocus considers Ferguson Enterprises to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for FERG:

  • Beneish M-Score: -2.48
  • GF Value™: $229.79 vs. price of $236.68 (3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 88/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the FERG stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ferguson Enterprises Business Description

Other Exchanges FERGl:UKFERG:UKUH3:Germany
Address 751 Lakefront Commons, Newport News, VA, USA, 23606
Ferguson distributes plumbing and HVAC products to North American repair, maintenance, and improvement, new construction, and civil infrastructure markets. It serves over 1 million customers and sources products from 37,000 suppliers. Ferguson engages customers through approximately 1,700 North American branches, over the phone, online, and in residential showrooms. The firm sold its UK business in 2021 and is now solely focused on the North American market.
88GF Score

Get the complete analysis for FERG

Beneish M-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$236.68
Price
$229.79
GF Value