Alcoa (HAM:185) E10: €-0.28 (As of Mar. 2026)


HAM:185 Alcoa Corp HAM:185
65 GF Score
Price €47.36
GF Value €26.62
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Alcoa E10?

Alcoa HAM:185 +2.47% 65 E10 is €-0.28 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates HAM:185 with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of €26.62 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Alcoa's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was €1.384. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is €-0.28 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2026.

Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

As of today (2026-06-27), Alcoa's current stock price is €47.36. Alcoa's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2026 was €-0.28. Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio of today is .


Alcoa  (HAM:185) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Alcoa E10 Related Terms


Alcoa E10 Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alcoa's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alcoa E10 Chart

Alcoa Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.60 -0.55

Alcoa Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.47 -1.26 -1.10 -0.55 -0.28

HAM:185 vs CENX, CSTM, KALU: E10 Comparison

For the Aluminum subindustry, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alcoa Shiller PE Ratio vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alcoa's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.


HAM:185
65GF Score
Alcoa Corp HAM:185
E10 is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alcoa E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Alcoa's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2026 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2026 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2026)
=1.384/330.2130*330.2130
=1.384

Current CPI (Mar. 2026) = 330.2130.

Alcoa Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201606 -0.268 241.018 -0.367
201609 -0.049 241.428 -0.067
201612 -0.645 241.432 -0.882
201703 1.131 243.801 1.532
201706 0.356 244.955 0.480
201709 0.503 246.819 0.673
201712 -0.896 246.524 -1.200
201803 0.843 249.554 1.115
201806 0.043 251.989 0.056
201809 -0.026 252.439 -0.034
201812 0.237 251.233 0.312
201903 -0.947 254.202 -1.230
201906 -1.920 256.143 -2.475
201909 -1.081 256.759 -1.390
201912 -1.476 256.974 -1.897
202003 0.389 258.115 0.498
202006 -0.941 257.797 -1.205
202009 -0.221 260.280 -0.280
202012 -0.016 260.474 -0.020
202103 0.781 264.877 0.974
202106 1.353 271.696 1.644
202109 1.496 274.310 1.801
202112 -1.867 278.802 -2.211
202203 2.261 287.504 2.597
202206 2.791 296.311 3.110
202209 -4.212 296.808 -4.686
202212 -2.001 296.797 -2.226
202303 -1.214 301.836 -1.328
202306 -0.526 305.109 -0.569
202309 -0.881 307.789 -0.945
202312 -0.770 306.746 -0.829
202403 -1.297 312.332 -1.371
202406 0.102 314.175 0.107
202409 0.342 315.301 0.358
202412 0.726 315.605 0.760
202503 1.915 319.799 1.977
202506 0.538 322.561 0.551
202509 0.750 324.800 0.762
202512 0.726 324.054 0.740
202603 1.384 330.213 1.384

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about E10 →
What does a E10 of €-0.28 mean?
Alcoa (HAM:185) has a E10 of €-0.28 as of Mar. 2026. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors.
Is Alcoa's E10 too high?
Alcoa's current E10 is €-0.28. Overall, Alcoa has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alcoa's E10 compare to CENX and CSTM?
Alcoa's E10 of €-0.28 can be compared against companies in the Metals & Mining industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good E10 for a Metals & Mining company?
A good E10 depends on the Metals & Mining industry context. However, E10 should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high E10 mean?
A high E10 can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. E10 represents the company's inflation-adjusted earnings per share over a 10-year period. View historical data on Alcoa and its competitors. Alcoa's current E10 is €-0.28. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alcoa stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa (HAM:185) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €26.62, compared to a current price of €47.36 — trading 77.9% above its estimated fair value. The current E10 is €-0.28. Alcoa's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is E10 calculated?
E10 is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alcoa (HAM:185), the current E10 is €-0.28 as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alcoa (HAM:185) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alcoa stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €47.36 is trading 77.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of €26.62. GuruFocus considers Alcoa to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for HAM:185:

  • E10: €-0.28
  • GF Value™: €26.62 vs. price of €47.36 (77.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the HAM:185 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alcoa Business Description

Address 201 Isabella Street, Suite 500, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15212-5858
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HAM:185

E10 is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€47.36
Price
€26.62
GF Value