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JD.com (HKSE:09618) E10 : HK$1.85 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is JD.com E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

JD.com's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$2.466. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is HK$1.85 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, JD.com's average E10 Growth Rate was 176.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

As of today (2024-06-11), JD.com's current stock price is HK$114.60. JD.com's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$1.85. JD.com's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 61.95.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of JD.com was 2198.33. The lowest was 54.02. And the median was 199.92.


JD.com E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for JD.com's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

JD.com E10 Chart

JD.com Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 0.39 1.29

JD.com Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.67 0.89 1.19 1.29 1.85

Competitive Comparison of JD.com's E10

For the Internet Retail subindustry, JD.com's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JD.com's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, JD.com's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JD.com's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



JD.com E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, JD.com's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.466/115.2271*115.2271
=2.466

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

JD.com Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 -1.823 98.200 -2.139
201409 -0.038 98.900 -0.044
201412 -0.107 99.000 -0.125
201503 -0.162 99.900 -0.187
201506 -0.119 99.500 -0.138
201509 -0.116 100.500 -0.133
201512 -1.677 100.600 -1.921
201603 -0.197 102.200 -0.222
201606 -0.053 101.400 -0.060
201609 -0.186 102.400 -0.209
201612 -0.342 102.600 -0.384
201703 0.045 103.200 0.050
201706 -0.097 103.100 -0.108
201709 0.208 104.100 0.230
201712 -0.190 104.500 -0.210
201803 0.323 105.300 0.353
201806 -0.467 104.900 -0.513
201809 0.583 106.600 0.630
201812 -0.943 106.500 -1.020
201903 1.450 107.700 1.551
201906 0.102 107.700 0.109
201909 0.116 109.800 0.122
201912 0.679 111.200 0.704
202003 0.199 112.300 0.204
202006 2.862 110.400 2.987
202009 1.337 111.700 1.379
202012 4.499 111.500 4.649
202103 1.348 112.662 1.379
202106 0.302 111.769 0.311
202109 -1.085 112.215 -1.114
202112 -2.033 113.108 -2.071
202203 -1.184 114.335 -1.193
202206 1.606 114.558 1.615
202209 1.990 115.339 1.988
202212 1.061 115.116 1.062
202303 2.232 115.116 2.234
202306 2.275 114.558 2.288
202309 2.682 115.339 2.679
202312 1.170 114.781 1.175
202403 2.466 115.227 2.466

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


JD.com  (HKSE:09618) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

JD.com's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=114.60/1.85
=61.95

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of JD.com was 2198.33. The lowest was 54.02. And the median was 199.92.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


JD.com E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of JD.com's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


JD.com (HKSE:09618) Business Description

Address
No. 18 Kechuang 11 Street, 20th Floor, Building A, Yizhuang Economic and Technological Development Zo, Daxing District, Beijing, CHN, 101111
JD.com is a leading e-commerce platform with its 2022 China GMV being similar to Pinduoduo (GMV not reported), on our estimate, but still lower than Alibaba. it offers a wide selection of authentic products with speedy and reliable delivery. The company has built its own nationwide fulfilment infrastructure and last-mile delivery network, staffed by its own employees, which supports both its online direct sales, its online marketplace and omnichannel businesses.
Executives
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. 2502 Approved lending agent

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