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The Travelers (XSGO:TRV) E10 : $9.92 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is The Travelers E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

The Travelers's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $4.800. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $9.92 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, The Travelers's average E10 Growth Rate was 1.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 10.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 9.00% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 7.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of The Travelers was 19.50% per year. The lowest was -7.00% per year. And the median was 6.80% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), The Travelers's current stock price is $178.42. The Travelers's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $9.92. The Travelers's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 17.99.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of The Travelers was 18.40. The lowest was 9.83. And the median was 14.99.


The Travelers E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Travelers's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Travelers E10 Chart

The Travelers Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.56 9.73 10.78 9.87 11.90

The Travelers Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.08 10.78 11.45 11.90 9.92

Competitive Comparison of The Travelers's E10

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, The Travelers's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Travelers's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, The Travelers's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Travelers's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



The Travelers E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, The Travelers's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=4.8/129.4194*129.4194
=4.800

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

The Travelers Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 1.950 100.560 2.510
201409 2.690 100.428 3.467
201412 3.110 99.070 4.063
201503 2.550 99.621 3.313
201506 2.530 100.684 3.252
201509 2.970 100.392 3.829
201512 2.830 99.792 3.670
201603 2.300 100.470 2.963
201606 2.240 101.688 2.851
201609 2.450 101.861 3.113
201612 3.280 101.863 4.167
201703 2.170 102.862 2.730
201706 2.110 103.349 2.642
201709 1.050 104.136 1.305
201712 1.980 104.011 2.464
201803 2.420 105.290 2.975
201806 1.920 106.317 2.337
201809 2.620 106.507 3.184
201812 2.130 105.998 2.601
201903 2.990 107.251 3.608
201906 2.100 108.070 2.515
201909 1.500 108.329 1.792
201912 3.350 108.420 3.999
202003 2.330 108.902 2.769
202006 -0.160 108.767 -0.190
202009 3.230 109.815 3.807
202012 5.100 109.897 6.006
202103 2.870 111.754 3.324
202106 3.660 114.631 4.132
202109 2.620 115.734 2.930
202112 5.370 117.630 5.908
202203 4.150 121.301 4.428
202206 2.270 125.017 2.350
202209 1.890 125.227 1.953
202212 3.440 125.222 3.555
202303 4.130 127.348 4.197
202306 -0.070 128.729 -0.070
202309 1.740 129.860 1.734
202312 6.990 129.419 6.990
202403 4.800 129.419 4.800

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


The Travelers  (XSGO:TRV) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

The Travelers's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=178.42/9.92
=17.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of The Travelers was 18.40. The lowest was 9.83. And the median was 14.99.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


The Travelers E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Travelers's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Travelers (XSGO:TRV) Business Description

Address
485 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10017
Travelers offers a broad product range and participates in both commercial and personal insurance lines. Its commercial operations offer a variety of coverage types for companies of any size but concentrate on serving midsize businesses. Its personal lines are roughly evenly split between auto and homeowners insurance. Travelers derives 6% of its premiums from foreign markets.

The Travelers (XSGO:TRV) Headlines

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