Applied Materials (CHIX:AP2D) Earnings Power Value (EPV): €76.34 (As of Apr26)


CHIX:AP2D Applied Materials Inc CHIX:AP2D
89 GF Score
Price €549.00
GF Value €202.82
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
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What is Applied Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Applied Materials CHIX:AP2D 89 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €76.34 as of Apr26. GuruFocus rates CHIX:AP2D with a GF Score™ of 89/100 and a GF Value™ of €202.82 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review.

As of Apr26, Applied Materials's earnings power value is €76.34. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -619.19

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Applied Materials  (CHIX:AP2d) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Applied Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Applied Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Applied Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Applied Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Applied Materials Annual Data
Trend Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23 Oct24 Oct25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 59.48 73.85 66.89

Applied Materials Quarterly Data
Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 62.47 75.44 66.89 48.22 60.39

CHIX:AP2D vs LRCX, KLAC, TER: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials subindustry, Applied Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Applied Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Applied Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Applied Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


CHIX:AP2D
89GF Score
Applied Materials Inc CHIX:AP2D
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Applied Materials Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Applied Materials's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 24,544
DDA 409
Operating Margin % 29.93
SGA * 25% 367
Tax Rate % 15.11
Maintenance Capex 1,163
Cash and Cash Equivalents 7,046
Short-Term Debt 1,123
Long-Term Debt 5,092
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 799

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 29.93%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €24,544 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 29.93%, Average Adjusted SGA = 367,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 24,544 * 29.93% +367 = €7711.88886878 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 15.11%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €7711.88886878 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 7711.88886878 * ( 1 - 15.11% ) = €6546.3139851526 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 409 * 0.5 * 15.11% = €30.914054688 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 6546.3139851526 + 30.914054688 = €6577.2280398406 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Applied Materials's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €1,163 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Applied Materials's current cash and cash equivalent = €7,046 Mil.
Applied Materials's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 5,092 + 1,123 = €6214.14 Mil.
Applied Materials's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 799 Mil.

Applied Materials's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Apr26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 6577.2280398406 - 1,163)/ 9%+7,046-6214.14 )/799
=76.34

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 76.335433039085-549.00 )/76.335433039085
= -619.19%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of €76.34 mean?
Applied Materials (CHIX:AP2D) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of €76.34 as of Apr26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Applied Materials and its competitors.
Is Applied Materials' Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Applied Materials' current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €76.34. Overall, Applied Materials has a GF Score™ of 89/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Applied Materials' Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to LRCX and KLAC?
Applied Materials' Earnings Power Value (EPV) of €76.34 can be compared against companies in the Semiconductors industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Semiconductors company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Semiconductors industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Applied Materials and its competitors. Applied Materials's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €76.34. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Applied Materials stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Applied Materials (CHIX:AP2D) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €202.82, compared to a current price of €549.00 — trading 170.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €76.34. Applied Materials' overall GF Score™ is 89/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Applied Materials (CHIX:AP2D), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is €76.34 as of Apr26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Applied Materials (CHIX:AP2D) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Applied Materials stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €549.00 is trading 170.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €202.82. GuruFocus considers Applied Materials to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:AP2D:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): €76.34
  • GF Value™: €202.82 vs. price of €549.00 (170.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 89/100 with 6 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:AP2D stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Applied Materials Business Description

Address 3050 Bowers Avenue, P.O. Box 58039, Santa Clara, CA, USA, 95052-8039
Applied Materials is the largest semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment manufacturer in the world. It has a broad portfolio spanning nearly every corner of the WFE ecosystem. Applied Materials holds leading market share in deposition, which entails the layering of new materials on semiconductor wafers. It is more exposed to general-purpose logic chips made at integrated device manufacturers and foundries. It counts the largest chipmakers in the world as customers, including TSMC, Intel, and Samsung.
89GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:AP2D

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€549.00
Price
€202.82
GF Value