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DOCN (DigitalOcean Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-21.28 (As of Dec24)


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What is DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Dec24, DigitalOcean Holdings's earnings power value is $-21.28. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

DigitalOcean Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -21.28

DigitalOcean Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -20.51 -18.73 -21.28

Competitive Comparison of DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

DigitalOcean Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 559.4
DDA 102.8
Operating Margin % 0.74
SGA * 25% 48.7
Tax Rate % 14.00
Maintenance Capex 115.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 428.4
Short-Term Debt 79.3
Long-Term Debt 1,615.8
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 92.3

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.74%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $559.4 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.74%, Average Adjusted SGA = 48.7,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 559.4 * 0.74% +48.7 = $52.837685094 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 14.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $52.837685094 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 52.837685094 * ( 1 - 14.00% ) = $45.443051065095 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 102.8 * 0.5 * 14.00% = $7.19477352 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 45.443051065095 + 7.19477352 = $52.637824585095 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
DigitalOcean Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $115.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. DigitalOcean Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $428.4 Mil.
DigitalOcean Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,615.8 + 79.3 = $1695.132 Mil.
DigitalOcean Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 92.3 Mil.

DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Dec24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 52.637824585095 - 115.4)/ 9%+428.4-1695.132 )/92.3
=-21.28

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -21.275545902528-42.85 )/-21.275545902528
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


DigitalOcean Holdings  (NYSE:DOCN) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


DigitalOcean Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of DigitalOcean Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


DigitalOcean Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
101 6th Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10013
DigitalOcean Holdings Inc is a cloud computing platform offering on-demand infrastructure and platform tools for developers, start-ups and small and medium-sized businesses. The customers use the platform for a wide range of cases, such as web and mobile applications, website hosting, e-commerce, media and gaming, personal web projects, and managed services, among many others. The group has a business presence in North America, Europe, Asia and Other countries.
Executives
Matt Steinfort officer: Chief Financial Officer 1805 29TH STREET SUITE 2050, BOULDER CO 80301
Amy S Butte director C/O L CATTERTON MANAGEMENT, 599 WEST PUTNAM AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Yancey L. Spruill director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1601 DRY CREEK DRIVE, SUITE 260, LONGMONT CO 80503
Megan Wood officer: Chief Strategy Officer C/O DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Jeffrey Scott Guy officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Warren Jenson director 30 FREDRICK AVE, ATHERTON CA 94027
Harold Matthew Norman officer: Chief People Officer C/O DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Christopher Merritt director C/O DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Carly D Brantz officer: Chief Marketing Officer C/O DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Alan Shapiro officer: General Counsel
Muhammad Aaqib Gadit officer: Chief Revenue Officer C/O DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Gabriel Monroy officer: Chief Product Officer C/O DIGITALOCEAN HOLDINGS, INC., 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Adrienne Elizabeth Calderone officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 101 6TH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10013
Andreessen Horowitz Fund Iii, L.p. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Ah Capital Management, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 2865 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025