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EQT (EQT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-38.82 (As of Sep24)


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What is EQT Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, EQT's earnings power value is $-38.82. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


EQT Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

EQT Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

EQT Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -101.81 -94.32 -55.72 -24.33 -26.17

EQT Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -29.38 -26.17 -26.16 -28.86 -38.82

Competitive Comparison of EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



EQT Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

EQT's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 6,195
DDA 1,708
Operating Margin % 9.79
SGA * 25% 52
Tax Rate % 29.01
Maintenance Capex 1,437
Cash and Cash Equivalents 89
Short-Term Debt 400
Long-Term Debt 13,393
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 560

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 9.79%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $6,195 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 9.79%, Average Adjusted SGA = 52,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 6,195 * 9.79% +52 = $658.6982628 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 29.01%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $658.6982628 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 658.6982628 * ( 1 - 29.01% ) = $467.60330977909 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1,708 * 0.5 * 29.01% = $247.729773837 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 467.60330977909 + 247.729773837 = $715.33308361609 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
EQT's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $1,437 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. EQT's current cash and cash equivalent = $89 Mil.
EQT's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 13,393 + 400 = $13793.548 Mil.
EQT's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 560 Mil.

EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 715.33308361609 - 1,437)/ 9%+89-13793.548 )/560
=-38.82

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -38.822352361782-45.59 )/-38.822352361782
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


EQT  (NYSE:EQT) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


EQT Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of EQT's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


EQT Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT) » Definitions » Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
625 Liberty Avenue, Suite 1700, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 15222
EQT Corp is an independent natural gas production company with operations focused in the Marcellus and Utica shale plays in the Appalachian Basin. At year-end 2023, EQT's proven reserves totaled 27.6 trillion cubic feet equivalent, with net production of 5.79 billion cubic feet equivalent per day. Natural gas accounted for 94% of production.
Executives
Thomas F Karam director C/O SOUTHERN UNION CO, ONE PEI CENTER, WILKES BARRE PA 18711-0601
William E. Jordan officer: EVP and General Counsel 400 WOODCLIFF DRIVE, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Lesley Evancho officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 625 LIBERTY AVENUE, SUITE 1700, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Qem Vi, Llc 10 percent owner 800 CAPITAL STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Vanloh S Wil Jr 10 percent owner 1401 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 2700, HOUSTON TX 77010
Q-xcl Holdings I (vi) Investment Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 800 CAPITOL STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Q-th Appalachia (vi) Investment Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 800 CAPITOL STREET, SUITE 3600, HOUSTON TX 77002
U.s. Bank Trust Company, National Association 10 percent owner 111 SW FIFTH AVENUE, PORTLAND OR 97204
Jeremy Knop officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 625 LIBERTY AVENUE, SUITE 1700, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Todd James officer: Chief Accounting Officer 625 LIBERTY AVENUE, SUITE 1700, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Kathryn Jean Jackson director 121 SW SALMON STREET, PORTLAND OR 97204
Frank C. Hu director 625 LIBERTY AVE., SUITE 1700, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
David M. Khani officer: Chief Financial Officer 625 LIBERTY AVE., SUITE 1700, PITTSBURGH PA 15222
Toby Z. Rice director, officer: President & CEO 400 WOODCLIFF DRIVE, CANONSBURG PA 15317
Lydia I Beebe director 13403 NORTHWEST FREEWAY, HOUSTON TX 77040