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Altair Nanotechnologies (FRA:AHNA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €-55.81 (As of Sep16)


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What is Altair Nanotechnologies Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep16, Altair Nanotechnologies's earnings power value is €-55.81. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Altair Nanotechnologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Altair Nanotechnologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Altair Nanotechnologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Altair Nanotechnologies Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -21.13 -20.42 - - -

Altair Nanotechnologies Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Altair Nanotechnologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Altair Nanotechnologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Altair Nanotechnologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Altair Nanotechnologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Altair Nanotechnologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Altair Nanotechnologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Altair Nanotechnologies's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 10.75
DDA 1.01
Operating Margin % -436.26
SGA * 25% 2.13
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 11.24
Cash and Cash Equivalents 3.60
Short-Term Debt 7.53
Long-Term Debt 20.66
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 11.59

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -436.26%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €10.75 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -436.26%, Average Adjusted SGA = 2.13,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 10.75 * -436.26% +2.13 = €-44.764918776 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €-44.764918776 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -44.764918776 * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = €-44.764918776 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 1.01 * 0.5 * 0.00% = €0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -44.764918776 + 0 = €-44.764918776 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Altair Nanotechnologies's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €11.24 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Altair Nanotechnologies's current cash and cash equivalent = €3.60 Mil.
Altair Nanotechnologies's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 20.66 + 7.53 = €28.182 Mil.
Altair Nanotechnologies's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 11.59 Mil.

Altair Nanotechnologies's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep16 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -44.764918776 - 11.24)/ 9%+3.60-28.182 )/11.59
=-55.81

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -55.810676330086-3.15 )/-55.810676330086
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Altair Nanotechnologies  (FRA:AHNA) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Altair Nanotechnologies Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Altair Nanotechnologies (FRA:AHNA) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Altair Nanotechnologies Inc was incorporated under the laws of the Province of Ontario, Canada in April 1973. The Company develops, manufactures and sells nano lithium titanate batteries and energy storage systems. Its nano lithium titanate battery systems offer higher power density, longer cycle life, rapid charge and discharge capabilities, operating temperature range and higher levels of safety than conventional lithium-ion batteries. The Company targets applications that effectively utilize the key attributes of its technology. It operates in two major business segments: Power and Energy Group, and All Other operations. The Power and Energy Group develops, produces, and sells battery systems. The All Others group consists of the remaining portions of the previous Life Sciences and Performance Materials groups. Its target market is electric grid, which design, manufacture and sell grid-scale battery systems, which provide ancillary services including frequency regulation. The Company currently is working with multiple vehicle manufacturers and suppliers regarding their hybrid and electric vehicle efforts. In 2012, it focused on the launch of its newest energy storage system, the ALTI-ESS Advantage. First, the company focused its product development on the launch of newest electric grid product, the 2 megawatt ALTI-ESS Advantage, which increased system specification from 1 megawatt to 2 megawatts, while reducing the containerized power modules footprint from 53 feet to 40 feet. Second, it focused on the manufacture of five grid-scale energy storage systems for four customers, who included the Hawaii Natural Energy Institute (HNEI), Vestas, TSK Solar and a U.S. utility company based on the East Coast. The Company has developed, and continues to develop, through its primary materials science research, a lithium-ion battery chemistry using nanotechnologies to create materials offering unique electrochemistry properties for rechargeable batteries. It manufactures cells, modules, packs and turn-key energy storage systems for its target customers, including 24V, 36V, and 48V industrial and transportation systems, a configurable industrial PowerRack system, and large-scale systems for the electric grid. The Company uses compounds of lithium and of titanium to manufacture its nano lithium titanate. It has a total of 12 U.S. and 42 foreign patents. A number of energy storage and power electronic component producers have entered into the frequency regulation market which include include ABB, A123 Systems., BYD, GS Yuasa, LG Chem, Mitsubishi, Parker Hannifin, Saft and XtremePower. Its products typically compete with existing methods for providing frequency regulation and renewables integration rather than competing battery manufacturers. Its current and proposed activities are subject to numerous federal, state, and local laws and regulations concerning machine and chemical safety and environmental protection.

Altair Nanotechnologies (FRA:AHNA) Headlines

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