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Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP (FRA:KM7) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : €-22.92 (As of Sep14)


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What is Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep14, Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's earnings power value is €-22.92. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP Annual Data
Trend Dec04 Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -28.21 -27.44 -25.66 -26.53 -26.89

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP Quarterly Data
Sep09 Dec09 Mar10 Jun10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -28.00 -26.89 -26.98 -27.35 -30.18

Competitive Comparison of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 7,470
DDA 874
Operating Margin % 23.96
SGA * 25% 88
Tax Rate % 3.06
Maintenance Capex 1,202
Cash and Cash Equivalents 208
Short-Term Debt 744
Long-Term Debt 17,089
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 463

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 23.96%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = €7,470 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 23.96%, Average Adjusted SGA = 88,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 7,470 * 23.96% +88 = €1877.553450975 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 3.06%, and "Normalized" EBIT = €1877.553450975 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 1877.553450975 * ( 1 - 3.06% ) = €1820.0627643061 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 874 * 0.5 * 3.06% = €13.386917024 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 1820.0627643061 + 13.386917024 = €1833.4496813301 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Average Maintenance CAPEX = €1,202 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's current cash and cash equivalent = €208 Mil.
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 17,089 + 744 = €17833.256 Mil.
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 463 Mil.

Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep14 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 1833.4496813301 - 1,202)/ 9%+208-17833.256 )/463
=-22.92

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -22.924550963999-78.00 )/-22.924550963999
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP  (FRA:KM7) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP (FRA:KM7) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners LP is a Delaware limited partnership formed in August 1992. The Company is engaged in pipeline transportation and energy storage company in North America. They own an interest in or operate approximately 52,000 miles of pipelines and 180 terminals. Its pipelines transport natural gas, refined petroleum products, crude oil, condensate, CO2 and other products, and its terminals store petroleum products, ethanol and chemicals, and handle such products as coal, petroleum coke and steel. They are also the producer and transporter of CO2, for enhanced oil recovery projects in North America. Its operations are conducted through our five operating limited partnerships and their subsidiaries and are grouped into five reportable business segments: Natural Gas Pipelines—consists of approximately 40,000 miles of natural gas transmission pipelines and gathering lines, plus natural gas storage, treating and processing facilities, through which natural gas is gathered, transported, stored, treated, processed and sold; O2—which produces, markets and transports, through approximately 1,500 miles of pipelines, CO2 to oil fields that use CO2 to increase production of oil; owns interests in and/or operate four primary oil fields in West Texas; and owns and operates a 450-mile crude oil pipeline system in West Texas; Products Pipelines—consists of approximately 9,000 miles of refined petroleum products and crude oil and condensate pipelines that deliver refined petroleum products (gasoline, diesel fuel and jet fuel), NGL, crude oil, condensate and bio-fuels to various markets; plus approximately 62 associated product terminals and petroleum pipeline transmix processing facilities serving customers across the U.S.; Terminals—consists of approximately 122 owned or operated liquids and bulk terminal facilities and approximately 10 rail transloading and materials handling facilities located throughout the U.S. and portions of Canada, which together transload, store and deliver a wide variety of bulk, petroleum, petrochemical and other liquids products for customers across the U.S. and Canada; and Kinder Morgan Canada—transports crude oil and refined petroleum products through approximately 800 miles of pipelines from Alberta, Canada to marketing terminals and refineries in British Columbia and the state of Washington; plus five associated product terminal facilities. The Company's business operations are subject to federal, state, provincial and local laws and regulations relating to environmental protection, pollution and human health and safety in the U.S. and Canada.

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