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Envision Greenwise Holdings (HKSE:01783) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : HK$-0.16 (As of Mar24)


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What is Envision Greenwise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar24, Envision Greenwise Holdings's earnings power value is HK$-0.16. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Envision Greenwise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Envision Greenwise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Envision Greenwise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Envision Greenwise Holdings Annual Data
Trend Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.38 0.24 0.20 -0.03 -0.16

Envision Greenwise Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Mar16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -0.03 - -0.16 -

Competitive Comparison of Envision Greenwise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Envision Greenwise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Envision Greenwise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Envision Greenwise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Envision Greenwise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


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Envision Greenwise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Envision Greenwise Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 5 Years Last Year
Revenue 387.9
DDA 7.1
Operating Margin % -6.91
SGA * 25% 10.6
Tax Rate % 2.91
Maintenance Capex 4.4
Cash and Cash Equivalents 49.9
Short-Term Debt 15.4
Long-Term Debt 3.0
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 1,193.0

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = -6.91%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = HK$387.9 Mil, Average Operating Margin = -6.91%, Average Adjusted SGA = 10.6,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 387.9 * -6.91% +10.6 = HK$-16.235719648 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 2.91%, and "Normalized" EBIT = HK$-16.235719648 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = -16.235719648 * ( 1 - 2.91% ) = HK$-15.763909635029 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 7.1 * 0.5 * 2.91% = HK$0.102677698 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = -15.763909635029 + 0.102677698 = HK$-15.661231937029 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Envision Greenwise Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = HK$4.4 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Envision Greenwise Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = HK$49.9 Mil.
Envision Greenwise Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 3.0 + 15.4 = HK$18.391 Mil.
Envision Greenwise Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 1,193.0 Mil.

Envision Greenwise Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( -15.661231937029 - 4.4)/ 9%+49.9-18.391 )/1,193.0
=-0.16

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -0.16014295410858-7.71 )/-0.16014295410858
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Envision Greenwise Holdings  (HKSE:01783) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Envision Greenwise Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

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Envision Greenwise Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
26 Harbour Road, Room 2901 & 09-10, 29 floor, China Resources Building, Wanchai, HKG
Envision Greenwise Holdings Ltd Formerly Golden Ponder Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company provides superstructure building and RMAA works services and works as a main contractor in Hong Kong. Its superstructure building works refer to building works in relation to the parts of the structure above the ground level and the scope of superstructure building works contracts consists of development projects for residential and commercial buildings. Geographically, the group derives revenue from Hong Kong. Its key revenue source is from the superstructure building works.
Executives
Kwok Chun Sing 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chun Yip International Investment Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Li Man Keung Edwin 2101 Beneficial owner
Ng Chun Keung 2101 Beneficial owner
Shiny Golden Limited 2101 Beneficial owner
Chan Kam Ming 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Chan Kam Tong 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Ng Wing Mui 2202 Interest of your spouse
Shu Ah Ping 2202 Interest of your spouse

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