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LECO (Lincoln Electric Holdings) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $83.28 (As of Sep24)


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What is Lincoln Electric Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Lincoln Electric Holdings's earnings power value is $83.28. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -144.71

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Lincoln Electric Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Lincoln Electric Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Lincoln Electric Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 45.99 52.34 58.36 63.13 78.68

Lincoln Electric Holdings Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 75.49 78.68 80.93 81.48 83.28

Competitive Comparison of Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Lincoln Electric Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Lincoln Electric Holdings's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 3,513
DDA 83
Operating Margin % 15.25
SGA * 25% 165
Tax Rate % 20.09
Maintenance Capex 63
Cash and Cash Equivalents 404
Short-Term Debt 112
Long-Term Debt 1,151
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 57

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 15.25%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $3,513 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 15.25%, Average Adjusted SGA = 165,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 3,513 * 15.25% +165 = $700.553888143 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 20.09%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $700.553888143 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 700.553888143 * ( 1 - 20.09% ) = $559.81961755395 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 83 * 0.5 * 20.09% = $8.287696861 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 559.81961755395 + 8.287696861 = $568.10731441495 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Lincoln Electric Holdings's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $63 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Lincoln Electric Holdings's current cash and cash equivalent = $404 Mil.
Lincoln Electric Holdings's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,151 + 112 = $1262.609 Mil.
Lincoln Electric Holdings's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 57 Mil.

Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 568.10731441495 - 63)/ 9%+404-1262.609 )/57
=83.28

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 83.281877205527-203.80 )/83.281877205527
= -144.71%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Lincoln Electric Holdings  (NAS:LECO) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Lincoln Electric Holdings Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Lincoln Electric Holdings's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Lincoln Electric Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
22801 Street Clair Avenue, Cleveland, OH, USA, 44117
Lincoln Electric is a leading manufacturer of welding, cutting, and brazing products. The firm's portfolio of products includes arc-welding solutions, plasma and oxy-fuel cutting systems, and brazing and soldering alloys, as well as automation solutions. Lincoln Electric serves clients in the general fabrication, heavy industries, automotive, construction, shipbuilding, energy and process industries, among other end markets. Based in Cleveland, Ohio, Lincoln Electric has operations in 19 countries and has 11,000 employees worldwide. The company generated roughly $4.2 billion in sales in 2023.
Executives
Michael J Whitehead officer: SVP, Strat. & Business Dev. 22801 SAINT CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Christopher L Mapes director REGAL BELOIT CORP, 200 STATE STREET, BELOIT WI 53511
Geoffrey P Allman officer: Sr. V.P., Corporate Controller 22801 ST. CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Gabriel Bruno officer: V.P., Corporate Controller 22801 ST. CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Steven B Hedlund officer: V. P. Strategy & Bus. Dev. 22801 ST. CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Michele R Kuhrt officer: Ex. V.P., CIO 22801 SAINT CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Marc A Howze director DEERE & COMPANY, ONE JOHN DEERE PLACE, MOLINE IL 61265
Jennifer I Ansberry officer: Ex.V.P. General Counsel & Secy 22801 SAINT CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Bonnie J Fetch director 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Kathryn Jo Lincoln director 1741 EAST MORTEN AVE, PHOENIX AZ 85020
Peter M. Pletcher officer: SVP, President International 22801 SAINT CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Gregory Doria officer: SVP, Pres Harris Products Gr. 22801 SAINT CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Lisa Dietrich officer: EVP, CIO 22801 SAINT CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117
Brian Chambers director ONE OWENS CORNING PARKWAY, TOLEDO OH 43659
Thomas A Flohn officer: VP; Pres. (Asia Pac.) 22801 ST. CLAIR AVENUE, CLEVELAND OH 44117