ODVCI (Oil & Gas Development Co) Earnings Power Value (EPV): $10.79 (As of Mar26)


What is Oil & Gas Development Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Oil & Gas Development Co ODVCI 86 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $10.79 as of Mar26. GuruFocus rates ODVCI with a GF Score™ of 86/100. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review.

As of Mar26, Oil & Gas Development Co's earnings power value is $10.79. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Oil & Gas Development Co  (OTCPK:ODVCI) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Oil & Gas Development Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Oil & Gas Development Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Oil & Gas Development Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Oil & Gas Development Co Annual Data
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Oil & Gas Development Co Quarterly Data
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ODVCI vs COP, EOG, OXY: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Oil & Gas E&P subindustry, Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Oil & Gas Development Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Oil & Gas Development Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Oil & Gas Development Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,421.46
DDA 115.01
Operating Margin % 50.48
SGA * 25% 4.73
Tax Rate % 35.92
Maintenance Capex 154.21
Cash and Cash Equivalents 991.12
Short-Term Debt 8.26
Long-Term Debt 0.00
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 430.09

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 50.48%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,421.46 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 50.48%, Average Adjusted SGA = 4.73,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,421.46 * 50.48% +4.73 = $722.236477866 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 35.92%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $722.236477866 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 722.236477866 * ( 1 - 35.92% ) = $462.83441329326 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 115.01 * 0.5 * 35.92% = $20.6530290785 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 462.83441329326 + 20.6530290785 = $483.48744237176 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Oil & Gas Development Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $154.21 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Oil & Gas Development Co's current cash and cash equivalent = $991.12 Mil.
Oil & Gas Development Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.00 + 8.26 = $8.264 Mil.
Oil & Gas Development Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 430.09 Mil.

Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 483.48744237176 - 154.21)/ 9%+991.12-8.264 )/430.09
=10.79

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 10.791892615777-0.00 )/10.791892615777
= 100%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $10.79 mean?
Oil & Gas Development Co (ODVCI) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $10.79 as of Mar26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Oil & Gas Development Co and its competitors.
Is Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Oil & Gas Development Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $10.79. Overall, Oil & Gas Development Co has a GF Score™ of 86/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to COP and EOG?
Oil & Gas Development Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $10.79 can be compared against companies in the Oil & Gas industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for an Oil & Gas company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Oil & Gas industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Oil & Gas Development Co and its competitors. Oil & Gas Development Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $10.79. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Oil & Gas Development Co stock overvalued right now?
Oil & Gas Development Co (ODVCI) has a current Earnings Power Value (EPV) of $10.79. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $10.79. Oil & Gas Development Co's overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Oil & Gas Development Co (ODVCI), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is $10.79 as of Mar26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Oil & Gas Development Co Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges OGDC:PakistanOGDC:UK
Address Plot No. 3, Jinnah Avenue, OGDCL House, F-6/G-6, Blue Area, Islamabad, PAK
Oil & Gas Development Co Ltd is a Pakistani state-owned oil and gas exploration and production company. It operates a broad portfolio of oil and gas fields across Pakistan, focusing on exploring, developing, producing, and selling crude oil, natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, and sulfur. The company generates revenue through the sale of these petroleum products, supplying sectors like power generation, fertilizer, and distribution companies. The company also pursues opportunities to expand domestically and internationally, including involvement in mining and energy projects beyond Pakistan.