Okabe Co (TSE:5959) Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円778.54 (As of Jun26)

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TSE:5959 Okabe Co Ltd TSE:5959
63 GF Score
Price 円925.00
GF Value 円832.04
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Okabe Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Okabe Co TSE:5959 +0.22% 63 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円778.54 as of Jun26. GuruFocus rates TSE:5959 with a GF Score™ of 63/100 and a GF Value™ of 円832.04 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review.

As of Jun26, Okabe Co's earnings power value is 円778.54. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -18.81

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Okabe Co  (TSE:5959) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Okabe Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Okabe Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Okabe Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Okabe Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 437.07 226.81 558.88 273.00 0.00

Okabe Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:5959 vs TT, JCI, CARR: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Okabe Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


TSE:5959
63GF Score
Okabe Co Ltd TSE:5959
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Okabe Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Okabe Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 72,217
DDA 0
Operating Margin % 6.20
SGA * 25% 0
Tax Rate % 32.19
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 8,616
Short-Term Debt 1,723
Long-Term Debt 4,886
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 46

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.20%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円72,217 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.20%, Average Adjusted SGA = 0,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 72,217 * 6.20% +0 = 円4477.4664 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 32.19%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円4477.4664 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 4477.4664 * ( 1 - 32.19% ) = 円3036.349064496 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0 * 0.5 * 32.19% = 円0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 3036.349064496 + 0 = 円3036.349064496 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Okabe Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Okabe Co's current cash and cash equivalent = 円8,616 Mil.
Okabe Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 4,886 + 1,723 = 円6609 Mil.
Okabe Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 46 Mil.

Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Jun26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 3036.349064496 - 0)/ 9%+8,616-6609 )/46
=778.54

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 778.53745922054-925.00 )/778.53745922054
= -18.81%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円778.54 mean?
Okabe Co (TSE:5959) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円778.54 as of Jun26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Okabe Co and its competitors.
Is Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Okabe Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円778.54. Overall, Okabe Co has a GF Score™ of 63/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to TT and JCI?
Okabe Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円778.54 can be compared against companies in the Construction industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Construction company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Construction industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Okabe Co and its competitors. Okabe Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円778.54. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Okabe Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Okabe Co (TSE:5959) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円832.04, compared to a current price of 円925.00 — trading 11.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円778.54. Okabe Co's overall GF Score™ is 63/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Okabe Co (TSE:5959), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円778.54 as of Jun26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Okabe Co (TSE:5959) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Okabe Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of 円925.00 is trading 11.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of 円832.04. GuruFocus considers Okabe Co to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:5959:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円778.54
  • GF Value™: 円832.04 vs. price of 円925.00 (11.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 63/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:5959 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Okabe Co Business Description

Address 2-8-2, Oshiage, Sumida-ku, Tokyo, JPN
Okabe Co Ltd is a construction and engineering products manufacturer. The company operates its business through its subsidiaries in three segments Construction-related products, Automotive products, and Other businesses. It develops, manufactures and markets temporary building and formwork products. The company designs and sells automotive bolts and screw nuts in the U.S. The company's marine business involves the development, manufacture, and sale of marine materials.
63GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:5959

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円925.00
Price
円832.04
GF Value