Toho Holdings Co (TSE:8129) Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円3,299.98 (As of Mar26)


TSE:8129 Toho Holdings Co Ltd TSE:8129
85 GF Score
Price 円4,010.00
GF Value 円4,792.65
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Toho Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

Toho Holdings Co TSE:8129 -0.05% 85 Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円3,299.98 as of Mar26. GuruFocus rates TSE:8129 with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of 円4,792.65 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review.

As of Mar26, Toho Holdings Co's earnings power value is 円3,299.98. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is -21.52

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Toho Holdings Co  (TSE:8129) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Toho Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms


Toho Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Toho Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Toho Holdings Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Toho Holdings Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:8129 vs MCK, CAH, COR: Earnings Power Value (EPV) Comparison

For the Medical Distribution subindustry, Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Toho Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) vs Medical Distribution Industry

For the Medical Distribution industry and Healthcare sector, Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


TSE:8129
85GF Score
Toho Holdings Co Ltd TSE:8129
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Toho Holdings Co Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Toho Holdings Co's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,441,372
DDA 5,990
Operating Margin % 1.15
SGA * 25% 256
Tax Rate % 33.98
Maintenance Capex 0
Cash and Cash Equivalents 94,361
Short-Term Debt 1,188
Long-Term Debt 8,702
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 66

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 1.15%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = 円1,441,372 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 1.15%, Average Adjusted SGA = 256,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,441,372 * 1.15% +256 = 円16810.555123 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 33.98%, and "Normalized" EBIT = 円16810.555123 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 16810.555123 * ( 1 - 33.98% ) = 円11098.244439429 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 5,990 * 0.5 * 33.98% = 円1017.6819945 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 11098.244439429 + 1017.6819945 = 円12115.926433929 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Toho Holdings Co's Average Maintenance CAPEX = 円0 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Toho Holdings Co's current cash and cash equivalent = 円94,361 Mil.
Toho Holdings Co's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 8,702 + 1,188 = 円9890 Mil.
Toho Holdings Co's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 66 Mil.

Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar26 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 12115.926433929 - 0)/ 9%+94,361-9890 )/66
=3,299.98

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 3299.9819981539-4010.00 )/3299.9819981539
= -21.52%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

What does a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円3,299.98 mean?
Toho Holdings Co (TSE:8129) has a Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円3,299.98 as of Mar26. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Toho Holdings Co and its competitors.
Is Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) too high?
Toho Holdings Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円3,299.98. Overall, Toho Holdings Co has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) compare to MCK and CAH?
Toho Holdings Co's Earnings Power Value (EPV) of 円3,299.98 can be compared against companies in the Medical Distribution industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Earnings Power Value (EPV) for a Medical Distribution company?
A good Earnings Power Value (EPV) depends on the Medical Distribution industry context. However, Earnings Power Value (EPV) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Earnings Power Value (EPV) mean?
A high Earnings Power Value (EPV) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Bruce Greenwald's earnings power value focuses on current earnings without factoring in future growth. View historical data on Toho Holdings Co and its competitors. Toho Holdings Co's current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円3,299.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Toho Holdings Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toho Holdings Co (TSE:8129) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円4,792.65, compared to a current price of 円4,010.00 — trading 16.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円3,299.98. Toho Holdings Co's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Earnings Power Value (EPV) calculated?
Earnings Power Value (EPV) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Toho Holdings Co (TSE:8129), the current Earnings Power Value (EPV) is 円3,299.98 as of Mar26. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Toho Holdings Co (TSE:8129) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Toho Holdings Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円4,010.00 is trading 16.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円4,792.65. GuruFocus considers Toho Holdings Co to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8129:

  • Earnings Power Value (EPV): 円3,299.98
  • GF Value™: 円4,792.65 vs. price of 円4,010.00 (16.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 3 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8129 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Toho Holdings Co Business Description

Other Exchanges TON:Germany
Address 4-43-11 Daizawa, Setagaya-ku, Tokyo, JPN, 155-8655
Toho Holdings Co Ltd is a specialty and generic drug manufacturing company. The company's business includes pharmaceutical wholesaling and pharmacy dispensing. It also maintains a site-management organization business that assists a variety of medical establishments, ranging from large medical institutions to private clinics, with a wide range of clinical trials under contract. The company supports medical institutions suitable for respective trials to improve the quality and speed of clinical trials. It generates additional revenue through software sales to medical institutions.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8129

Earnings Power Value (EPV) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円4,010.00
Price
円4,792.65
GF Value