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VKTX (Viking Therapeutics) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $8.38 (As of Sep24)


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What is Viking Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Sep24, Viking Therapeutics's earnings power value is $8.38. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Viking Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Viking Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Viking Therapeutics Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
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Viking Therapeutics Quarterly Data
Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24
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Competitive Comparison of Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.



Viking Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Viking Therapeutics's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 0.00
DDA 0.29
Operating Margin % 0.00
SGA * 25% 5.55
Tax Rate % 0.00
Maintenance Capex 0.00
Cash and Cash Equivalents 930.44
Short-Term Debt 0.48
Long-Term Debt 0.76
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 110.91

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 0.00%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $0.00 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 0.00%, Average Adjusted SGA = 5.55,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 0.00 * 0.00% +5.55 = $ Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 0.00%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $ Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = * ( 1 - 0.00% ) = $0 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 0.29 * 0.5 * 0.00% = $0 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 0 + 0 = $0 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Viking Therapeutics's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $0.00 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Viking Therapeutics's current cash and cash equivalent = $930.44 Mil.
Viking Therapeutics's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 0.76 + 0.48 = $1.235 Mil.
Viking Therapeutics's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 110.91 Mil.

Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Sep24 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 0 - 0.00)/ 9%+930.44-1.235 )/110.91
=8.38

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( 8.377933658519-47.03 )/8.377933658519
= -461.36%

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Viking Therapeutics  (NAS:VKTX) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Viking Therapeutics Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Viking Therapeutics's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Viking Therapeutics Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
9920 Pacific Heights Boulevard, Suite 350, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Viking Therapeutics Inc is a healthcare service provider. The company specializes in the area of biopharmaceutical development focused on metabolic and endocrine disorders. The company's clinical program pipeline consists of VK2809, VK5211, VK0214 products. VK2809 and VK0214 are orally available, tissue and receptor-subtype selective agonists of the thyroid hormone receptor beta. VK5211 is an orally available, non-steroidal selective androgen receptor modulator.
Executives
Lawson Macartney director C/O AMBRX, INC., 10975 N. TORREY PINES RD., LA JOLLA CA 92037
Greg Zante officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O SANGAMO BIOSCIENCES, INC STE-A-100, POINT RICHMOND TECH, 501 CANAL BLVD,, RICHMOND CA 94804
Sarah Kathryn Rouan director 4995 BRADENTON AVENUE, SUITE 240, DUBLIN OH 43017
J Matthew Singleton director 286 STANWICH ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Brian Lian director, officer: President & CEO C/O SEELOS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 300 PARK AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Marianna Mancini officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O VIKING THERAPEUTICS, INC., 12340 EL CAMINO REAL, STE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Rowland Charles A Jr director 3338 LANCASHIRE RD, FURLONG PA 18925
Matthew W Foehr director 11119 NORTH TORREY PINES RD #200, LA JOLLA CA 92037
Ligand Pharmaceuticals Inc 10 percent owner 3911 SORRENTO VALLEY BLVD, SUITE 110, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Hiroko Masamune officer: Chief Development Officer C/O VIKING THERAPEUTICS, INC., 12340 EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 250, SAN DIEGO CA 92130
Michael Morneau officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O TRIUS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 6410 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SUITE 101, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Stephen W Webster director C/O OPTIMER PHARMACEUTICALS, INC, 101 HUDSON STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 07302
Rochelle Hanley officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O VIKING THERAPEUTICS, INC., 11119 NORTH TORREY PINES ROAD, SUITE 50, SAN DIEGO CA 92037
Michael Dinerman officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O VIKING THERAPEUTICS, INC., 11119 NORTH TORREY PINES ROAD, SUITE 50, SAN DIEGO CA 92037