As of today (2026-06-26), Carnival's share price is MXN438.26. Carnival's GF Value is MXN352.19. Therefore, Carnival's Price-to-GF-Value for today is 1.24. Based on the relationship between the current stock price and the GF Value, GuruFocus believes Carnival is Data Out of Date, Use Caution.
The GF Value represents the intrinsic value of a stock, determined using GuruFocus' proprietary methodology. The GF Value Line on our stock Summary page provides an estimate of the stock’s fair-trading value.
To calculate this value, GuruFocus follows these steps:
We analyze historical correlations between the stock price and key business performance metrics, such as revenue, earnings, cash flow, and book value.
We identify the metrics that have the strongest historical correlation with the stock price and determine the historical multiples at which the stock has traded relative to these metrics.
Using these historical multiples as a reference, we estimate the stock's fair value while accounting for future business growth. Adjustments may be made based on the company’s past returns and growth trends.
GuruFocus believes that the GF Value Line represents the fair value at which a stock should trade. Stock prices typically fluctuate around this line. If a stock’s price is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is considered overvalued, and its future returns are likely to be lower. Conversely, if the stock price is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future returns are likely to be higher.
Carnival (MEX:CCL) GF Value Explanation
Based on the relationship between the current stock price and the GF Value, GuruFocus provides the following 6 ratings:
(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our GF Valuation filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab, and Price-to-GF-Value filter under Valuation Ratio tab and set your own criteria.
(2) A sufficient margin of safety exists only when the stock is undervalued.
Possible Value Trap, Think Twice companies are those that appear significantly undervalued based on their Price-to-GF-Value ratio, but whose fundamentals show signs of weakness.
Indicators that a company may be a value trap include:
* Deteriorating Financial Health: A low Altman Z-scores indicates a higher risk of bankruptcy, or a low Piotroski F-Score. * Earnings Manipulation: A high Beneish M-score indicates potential earnings manipulation, raising concerns about the reliability of reported financials. * Stagnant or Declining Growth: Lack of revenue or earnings growth, or a recent slowdown, may signal limited future prospects.
Investors should conduct thorough due diligence, examining financial statements and growth indicators, to avoid falling into value traps.
Carnival's Price-to-GF-Value for today is calculated as
Price-to-GF-Value
=
Share Price
/
GF Value
=
438.26
/
352.19
=
1.24
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Carnival (MEX:CCL) has a GF Value of MXN352.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors.
Is Carnival's GF Value too high?
Carnival's current GF Value is MXN352.19. Overall, Carnival has a GF Score™ of 76/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Carnival's GF Value compare to CCL and VIK?
Carnival's GF Value of MXN352.19 can be compared against companies in the Travel & Leisure industry. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good GF Value for a Travel & Leisure company?
A good GF Value depends on the Travel & Leisure industry context. However, GF Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high GF Value mean?
A high GF Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. GF Value represents the current intrinsic value of a stock derived from our exclusive method. View historical data on Carnival and its competitors. Carnival's current GF Value is MXN352.19. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Carnival stock overvalued right now?
Carnival (MEX:CCL) has a current GF Value of MXN352.19. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN352.19, compared to a current price of MXN438.26 — trading 24.4% above its estimated fair value. The current GF Value is MXN352.19. Carnival's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is GF Value calculated?
GF Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Carnival (MEX:CCL), the current GF Value is MXN352.19 as of Jun. 26, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Carnival (MEX:CCL) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Carnival stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of MXN438.26 is trading 24.4% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN352.19.
Key valuation signals for MEX:CCL:
GF Value: MXN352.19
GF Value™: MXN352.19 vs. price of MXN438.26 (24.4% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:CCL stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Carnival PLC is the largest global cruise company, with nearly 100 ships in service. Its portfolio of brands includes Carnival Cruise Lines, Holland America, Princess Cruises, and Seabourn in North America; P&O Cruises and Cunard Line in the United Kingdom; Aida in Germany; Costa Cruises in Southern Europe. It recently folded its P&O Australia brand into Carnival. The firm also owns Holland America Princess Alaska Tours in Alaska and the Canadian Yukon. Carnival's brands attracted nearly 14 million guests in 2025.
76GF Score
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