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Moog (MOG.A) Graham Number : $58.05 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Moog Graham Number?

Graham Number is a figure that measures a stock's fundamental value by taking into account the company's earnings per share and book value per share. The Graham number is the upper bound of the price range that a defensive investor should pay for the stock. According to the theory, any stock price below the Graham number is considered undervalued, and thus worth investing in.

As of today (2024-04-26), the stock price of Moog is $157.13. Moog's graham number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $58.05. Therefore, Moog's Price to Graham Number ratio for today is 2.71.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moog's Graham Number or its related term are showing as below:

MOG.A' s Price-to-Graham-Number Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.4   Med: 2.39   Max: 4.01
Current: 2.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Graham Number ratio of Moog was 4.01. The lowest was 1.40. And the median was 2.39.

MOG.A's Price-to-Graham-Number is ranked worse than
54.21% of 190 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 2.65 vs MOG.A: 2.71

Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation. It is a very conservative way of valuing a stock.


Moog Graham Number Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moog's Graham Number can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moog Graham Number Chart

Moog Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Graham Number
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 38.41 17.75 38.08 45.47 54.55

Moog Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Graham Number Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.68 51.54 52.01 54.54 58.05

Competitive Comparison of Moog's Graham Number

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Moog's Price-to-Graham-Number, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Graham-Number data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moog's Price-to-Graham-Number Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Moog's Price-to-Graham-Number distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moog's Price-to-Graham-Number falls into.



Moog Graham Number Calculation

Graham Number is a concept based on Ben Graham's conservative valuation of companies.

Moog's Graham Number for the fiscal year that ended in Sep. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5* Tangible Book per Share *EPS without NRI)
=sqrt of (22.5*23.31*5.673)
=54.55

Moog's Graham Number for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as

Graham Number
=sqrt of (22.5*Tangible Book per Share*EPS without NRI (TTM))
=sqrt of (22.5*25.11*5.964)
=58.05

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Moog  (NYSE:MOG.A) Graham Number Explanation

Ben Graham actually did not publish a formula like this. But he wrote in The Intelligent Investor (1948 version) regarding to the criteria for purchases:

Current price should not be more than 15 times average earnings of the past three years.

Current price should not be more than 1.5 times the book value last reported. However, a multiplier of earnings below 15 could justify a correspondingly higher multiplier of assets. As a rule of thumb we suggest that the product of the multiplier times the ratio of price to book value should not exceed 22.5. (This figure corresponds to 15 times earnings and 1.5 times book value. It would admit an issue selling at only 9 times earnings and 2.5 times asset value, etc.)

Unlike valuation methods such as DCF or Discounted Earnings, the Graham number does not take growth into the valuation. Unlike the valuation methods based on book value alone, it takes into account the earnings power. Therefore, the Graham Number is a combination of asset valuation and earnings power valuation.

In general, the Graham number is a very conservative way of valuing a stock. It cannot be applied to companies with negative book values.

Moog's Price to Graham number Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Graham number=Share Price (Today)/Graham number (Q: Dec. 2023 )
=157.13/58.05
=2.71

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Be Aware

Please keep these in mind:

1. Graham Number does not take growth into account. Therefore it underestimates the values of the companies that have good earnings growth. We feel that if the earnings per share grows more than 10% a year, Graham Number underestimates the value.
2. Graham Number punishes the companies that have temporarily low earnings. Therefore, an average of earnings makes more sense in the calculation of Graham Number.
3. Graham Numbers underestimates companies that are light with book.


Moog Graham Number Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Moog's Graham Number provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Moog (MOG.A) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 Jamison Road, East Aurora, New York, NY, USA, 14052-0018
Moog Inc is a manufacturer of precision motion and fluid controls systems for the aerospace and defense markets. It has a diversified product range and operates in three segments: Aircraft Controls, Space and Defense Controls, and Industrial Systems. The company has a wide sales and marketing reach with sales staff being the main contact with customers. Additionally, it will use manufacturers' representatives and distributors to market in certain segments. Sales under United States government contracts represent approximately one third of total revenue. Although over half of total sales originate in the United States, the company serves many European and Asian nations.
Executives
Alfieri Joseph J Iii officer: Vice President 400 JAMISON RD., EAST AURORA NY 14052
Michael A Schaff officer: Vice President 400 JAMISON RD., EAST AURORA NY 14052
Mark D Graczyk officer: Vice President 400 JAMISON RD., EAST AURORA NY 14052
Mahesh Narang director 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Stuart Mclachlan officer: Vice President SENECA ST. & JAMISON RD, E. AURORA NY 14052
Janet M. Coletti director ONE M&T PLAZA, BUFFALO NY 14203
Michael J. Swope officer: Controller SENECA ST & JAMISON RD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Paul Wilkinson officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Brenda Reichelderfer director ITT CORPORATION, 4 WEST RED OAK LANE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
R. Eric Burghardt officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Mark Joseph Trabert officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Maureen Mary Athoe officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Richard Bradley Lawrence director 500 108TH AVENUE NE, SUITE 1500, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Patrick J Roche officer: Vice President SENECA ST & JAMISON RD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Gisel William G Jr director SENECA ST & JAMISON RD, EAST AURORA NY 14052