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Moog (MOG.A) Altman Z2-Score : 5.28 (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Moog Altman Z2-Score?

Altman Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score, is used to predict the likelihood that a non-manufacturing company (excluding property/financial company) will face bankruptcy within a two-year period.

Good Sign:

Moog has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.28, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z2-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z2-Score <= 1.1, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score >= 2.6, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z2-Score is between 1.1 and 2.6, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Moog's Altman Z2-Score or its related term are showing as below:

MOG.A' s Altman Z2-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.19   Med: 5.09   Max: 5.55
Current: 5.28

During the past 13 years, Moog's highest Altman Z2-Score was 5.55. The lowest was 3.19. And the median was 5.09.


Moog Altman Z2-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Moog's Altman Z2-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Moog Altman Z2-Score Chart

Moog Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Altman Z2-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.48 4.72 4.94 5.22 5.18

Moog Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Altman Z2-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.35 5.23 5.18 5.16 5.28

Competitive Comparison of Moog's Altman Z2-Score

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Moog's Altman Z2-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z2-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Moog's Altman Z2-Score Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Moog's Altman Z2-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Moog's Altman Z2-Score falls into.



Moog Altman Z2-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Z2-Score, also known as Z"-Score is the Z-Score for non-manufacturing companies excluding property/financial companies.

Moog's Altman Z2-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=6.56*X1+3.26*X2+6.72*X3+1.05*X4_2
=6.56*0.2853+3.26*0.6405+6.72*0.077+1.05*0.767
=5.28

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z2-Score when X4_2 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2024:
Total Assets was $4,039 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,157 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $1,005 Mil.
Retained Earnings was $2,587 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 78.749 + 62.611 + 49.109 + 50.338 = $241 Mil.
Interest Expense was -18.003 + -16.694 + -18.227 + -17.256 = $-70 Mil.
Total Liabilities was $2,286 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(2156.945 - 1004.528)/4039.12
=0.2853

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=2587.222/4039.12
=0.6405

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(240.807 - -70.18)/4039.12
=0.077

X4_2=Net Worth/Total Liabilities
=(Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities
=(1753.259 - 0)/2285.861
=0.767

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.1 < Grey Zones < 2.6 - Safe Zones

Moog has a Altman Z2-Score of 5.28 indicating it is in Safe Zones.


Moog  (NYSE:MOG.A) Altman Z2-Score Explanation

The original Z-Score model was based on publicly traded manufacturing companies while the Z2-Score, also known as Z"-score can be used for any type of company excluding property/financial companies. Both Z-Score and Z2-Score describes the financial health of a company, and its likelihood of financial distress.

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4_2, Net Worth (Total Stockholders Equity - Preferred Stock)/Total Liabilities (NW/TL): it compares a company’s stock net worth with its total liabilities and can be used to assess the extent of its reliance on debt.

Read more about Altman Z2-Score, the original research on Z-Score and the additional research on Z2-Score.


Be Aware

Altman Z2-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Moog Altman Z2-Score Related Terms

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Moog (MOG.A) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
400 Jamison Road, East Aurora, New York, NY, USA, 14052-0018
Moog Inc is a manufacturer of precision motion and fluid controls systems for the aerospace and defense markets. It has a diversified product range and operates in three segments: Aircraft Controls, Space and Defense Controls, and Industrial Systems. The company has a wide sales and marketing reach with sales staff being the main contact with customers. Additionally, it will use manufacturers' representatives and distributors to market in certain segments. Sales under United States government contracts represent approximately one third of total revenue. Although over half of total sales originate in the United States, the company serves many European and Asian nations.
Executives
Alfieri Joseph J Iii officer: Vice President 400 JAMISON RD., EAST AURORA NY 14052
Michael A Schaff officer: Vice President 400 JAMISON RD., EAST AURORA NY 14052
Mark D Graczyk officer: Vice President 400 JAMISON RD., EAST AURORA NY 14052
Mahesh Narang director 500 JACKSON STREET, COLUMBUS IN 47201
Stuart Mclachlan officer: Vice President SENECA ST. & JAMISON RD, E. AURORA NY 14052
Janet M. Coletti director ONE M&T PLAZA, BUFFALO NY 14203
Michael J. Swope officer: Controller SENECA ST & JAMISON RD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Paul Wilkinson officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Brenda Reichelderfer director ITT CORPORATION, 4 WEST RED OAK LANE, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
R. Eric Burghardt officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Mark Joseph Trabert officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Maureen Mary Athoe officer: Vice President SENECA STREET & JAMISON ROAD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Richard Bradley Lawrence director 500 108TH AVENUE NE, SUITE 1500, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Patrick J Roche officer: Vice President SENECA ST & JAMISON RD, EAST AURORA NY 14052
Gisel William G Jr director SENECA ST & JAMISON RD, EAST AURORA NY 14052