LMPMY (Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $5.92 (As of Jul. 24, 2026) — 2719% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LMPMY Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd LMPMY
73 GF Score
Price $5.21
GF Value $3.08
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing LMPMY +7.42% 73 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $5.92 as of Jul. 24, 2026, which is 2719% above its 10-year median of 0.21. GuruFocus rates LMPMY with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of $3.08 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 20 Forest Products companies, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks worse than 4999995% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-24), Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $5.92.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing is 11.99%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing was 0.27. The lowest was 0.17. And the median was 0.21.

LMPMY's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Forest Products industry.
Industry Median: 0.95
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing  (OTCPK:LMPMY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Competitor Comparison

For the Paper & Paper Products subindustry, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


LMPMY
73GF Score
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd LMPMY
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.68%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was -8.80%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.513.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.513*11.5406
=5.92

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (5.92 - 5.21) / 5.92
= 11.99 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $5.92 mean?
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (LMPMY) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $5.92 as of Jul. 24, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing and its competitors. This is 2719% above median its historical median of 0.21. Over the past decade, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.17 to 0.27. According to the industry distribution chart, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks #999999 out of 20 companies in the Forest Products industry.
Is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $5.92 is 2719% above median its 10-year median of 0.21. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.17 to a high of 0.27. The Forest Products industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.95. Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's value of $5.92 is 523.2% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks #999999 out of 20 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to competitors?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing ranks #999999 out of 20 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.95. Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's value of $5.92 is 523.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.17 to 0.27 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.21 vs. the industry median of 0.95, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Forest Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Forest Products companies is 0.95, based on 20 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $5.92 is 523.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $5.92, which is 2719% above median its own 10-year median of 0.21. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (LMPMY) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.08, compared to a current price of $5.21 — trading 69.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $5.92, which is 2719% above median its 10-year median of 0.21 and 523.2% above the Forest Products industry median of 0.95. Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (LMPMY), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $5.92 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing (LMPMY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $5.21 is trading 69.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.08. GuruFocus considers Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for LMPMY:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $5.92 (2719% above median its 10-year median of 0.21)
  • GF Value™: $3.08 vs. price of $5.21 (69.2% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 523.2% above the Forest Products median (#999999 of 20)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LMPMY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Business Description

Other Exchanges 02314:Hong Kong
Address 169 Electric Road, 39th Floor, Lee & Man Commercial Center, North Point, Hong Kong, HKG
Lee & Man Paper Manufacturing Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in the manufacturing and trading of paper and pulp. Its segments are Packaging Paper, Pulp, and Tissue paper. The majority of the revenue is generated from the packaging paper segment that covers the production of kraft liner board, test liner board, coated duplex board, white top liner board, and strength corrugating medium. Its products include Wood pulp products, Boxboard paper products, Pink Gray Card Products, and Toilet Paper Products. The company generates maximum revenue from PRC, and also has its presence in Malaysia; Vietnam; and Hong Kong, Macau and others.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LMPMY

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.21
Price
$3.08
GF Value