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Cofco Sugar Holding CoSHSE:600737 +0.64%70 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is ¥24.47 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates SHSE:600737 with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of ¥8.69 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 235 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, Cofco Sugar Holding Co ranks better than 71.49% on this metric.
Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.
The historical rank and industry rank for Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:
SHSE:600737'
s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.22 Med: 0.36 Max: 0.82
Current: 0.64
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Cofco Sugar Holding Co was 0.82. The lowest was 0.22. And the median was 0.36.
SHSE:600737's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than 71.49% of 235
companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 0.89
vs SHSE:600737: 0.64
What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:
1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.
Cofco Sugar Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms
Cofco Sugar Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Cofco Sugar Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart
SHSE:600737 vs KHC, GIS: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison
For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Cofco Sugar Holding Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry
For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.
Cofco Sugar Holding Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.76%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Cofco Sugar Holding Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past
5 years was 51.20%,
which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = ¥0.783. GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.
All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.
Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of ¥24.47 mean?
Cofco Sugar Holding Co (SHSE:600737) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of ¥24.47 as of Sep. 04, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Cofco Sugar Holding Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Cofco Sugar Holding Co ranks #67 out of 235 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 28.5%.
Is Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Cofco Sugar Holding Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is ¥24.47. Based on the distribution chart, Cofco Sugar Holding Co ranks #67 out of 235 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Cofco Sugar Holding Co has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Cofco Sugar Holding Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, Cofco Sugar Holding Co ranks #67 out of 235 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This puts Cofco Sugar Holding Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.89. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 0.89, based on 235 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Cofco Sugar Holding Co and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.89 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Cofco Sugar Holding Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is ¥24.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Cofco Sugar Holding Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cofco Sugar Holding Co (SHSE:600737) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is ¥8.69, compared to a current price of ¥15.61 — trading 79.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is ¥24.47. Cofco Sugar Holding Co's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Cofco Sugar Holding Co (SHSE:600737), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is ¥24.47 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Cofco Sugar Holding Co (SHSE:600737) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Cofco Sugar Holding Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of ¥15.61 is trading 79.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of ¥8.69.
GuruFocus considers Cofco Sugar Holding Co to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for SHSE:600737:
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): ¥24.47
GF Value™: ¥8.69 vs. price of ¥15.61 (79.6% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the SHSE:600737 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Cofco Sugar Holding Co Ltd is engaged in sugar business and tomato processing business. The company also takes care of sugar imports, port sugar refining, and sugar storage and logistics. Some of the company's products are raw sugar, white sugar, organic white granulated sugar, refined sugar, brown sugar, molasses, beet ordinary granules, and plus honey granules.
70GF Score
Get the complete analysis for SHSE:600737
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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