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Triple Flag Precious MetalsTFPM +4.13%94 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $13.30 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus rates TFPM with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of $34.30 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 75 Metals & Mining companies, Triple Flag Precious Metals ranks worse than 1333332% on this metric.
Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.
Triple Flag Precious Metals's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for Triple Flag Precious Metals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:
TFPM's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 0.86 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.
What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:
1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms
Triple Flag Precious Metals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Triple Flag Precious Metals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart
TFPM vs HL: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison
For the Other Precious Metals & Mining subindustry, Triple Flag Precious Metals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Metals & Mining Industry
For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Triple Flag Precious Metals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Triple Flag Precious Metals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 10% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.42%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5.40%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Triple Flag Precious Metals's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 5.40%,
which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5.40%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.0377. GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.
All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $13.30 mean?
Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $13.30 as of Jul. 22, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Triple Flag Precious Metals and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Triple Flag Precious Metals ranks #999999 out of 75 companies in the Metals & Mining industry.
Is Triple Flag Precious Metals' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Triple Flag Precious Metals' current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $13.30. The Metals & Mining industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.86. Triple Flag Precious Metals' value of $13.30 is 1446.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Triple Flag Precious Metals ranks #999999 out of 75 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Triple Flag Precious Metals has a GF Score™ of 94/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Triple Flag Precious Metals' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to HL?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Triple Flag Precious Metals ranks #999999 out of 75 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Triple Flag Precious Metals in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.86. Triple Flag Precious Metals' value of $13.30 is 1446.5% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Metals & Mining companies is 0.86, based on 75 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Triple Flag Precious Metals's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $13.30 is 1446.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Triple Flag Precious Metals and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Triple Flag Precious Metals's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $13.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Triple Flag Precious Metals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $34.30, compared to a current price of $28.52 — trading 16.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $13.30 and 1446.5% above the Metals & Mining industry median of 0.86. Triple Flag Precious Metals' overall GF Score™ is 94/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $13.30 as of Jul. 22, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Triple Flag Precious Metals (TFPM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Triple Flag Precious Metals stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $28.52 is trading 16.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $34.30.
GuruFocus considers Triple Flag Precious Metals to be Modestly Undervalued.
Key valuation signals for TFPM:
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $13.30
GF Value™: $34.30 vs. price of $28.52 (16.9% below fair value)
Industry Position: 1446.5% above the Metals & Mining median (#999999 of 75)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TFPM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp is a streaming and royalty company focused on precious metals. Its revenues are largely generated from a diversified portfolio of properties in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d'Ivoire, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, and the United States. Its diversified portfolio of streams and royalties comprises long-life mining assets, including the Northparkes copper-gold mine in Australia, the Cerro Lindo polymetallic mine in Peru, the Fosterville gold mine in Australia, the Buritica gold mine in Colombia, and the Impala Bafokeng Operations in South Africa among others. A majority of its revenue is derived through its interests in various gold streams. Geographically, the company derives maximum revenue from Australia, followed by Peru and other regions.
94GF Score
Get the complete analysis for TFPM
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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