Kohnan Shoji Co (TSE:7516) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円11,043.17 (As of Aug. 09, 2026) — 3155091% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:7516 Kohnan Shoji Co Ltd TSE:7516
73 GF Score
Price 円4,255.00
GF Value 円4,425.97
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Kohnan Shoji Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Kohnan Shoji Co TSE:7516 +2.41% 73 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円11,043.17 as of Aug. 09, 2026, which is 100% below its 10-year median of 0.35. GuruFocus rates TSE:7516 with a GF Score™ of 73/100 and a GF Value™ of 円4,425.97 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 122 Retail - Cyclical companies, Kohnan Shoji Co ranks better than 88.52% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-09), Kohnan Shoji Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is 円11,043.17.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Kohnan Shoji Co's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Kohnan Shoji Co is 61.47%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kohnan Shoji Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7516' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 0.35   Max: 0.46
Current: 0.39

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Kohnan Shoji Co was 0.46. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 0.35.

TSE:7516's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
88.52% of 122 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.97 vs TSE:7516: 0.39

Kohnan Shoji Co  (TSE:7516) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Kohnan Shoji Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Kohnan Shoji Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Kohnan Shoji Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Kohnan Shoji Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Kohnan Shoji Co Annual Data
Trend Feb17 Feb18 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24 Feb25 Feb26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 9,656.14 11,655.44 11,230.12 9,340.71

Kohnan Shoji Co Quarterly Data
Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Aug24 Nov24 Feb25 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11,016.70 10,707.84 10,455.59 9,340.71 0.00

TSE:7516 vs HD, LOW, FND: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Home Improvement Retail subindustry, Kohnan Shoji Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kohnan Shoji Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kohnan Shoji Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kohnan Shoji Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


TSE:7516
73GF Score
Kohnan Shoji Co Ltd TSE:7516
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Kohnan Shoji Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 12.40%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Kohnan Shoji Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 12.40%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 12.40%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = 円491.1678.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Kohnan Shoji Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.124)/(1+0.09) = 1.0311926605505
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=491.1678*22.4835
=11,043.17

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (11043.17 - 4255.00) / 11043.17
= 61.47 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円11,043.17 mean?
Kohnan Shoji Co (TSE:7516) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円11,043.17 as of Aug. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Kohnan Shoji Co and its competitors. This is 3155091% above median its historical median of 0.35. Over the past decade, Kohnan Shoji Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.32 to 0.46. According to the industry distribution chart, Kohnan Shoji Co ranks #14 out of 122 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 11.5%.
Is Kohnan Shoji Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Kohnan Shoji Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円11,043.17 is 3155091% above median its 10-year median of 0.35. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.32 to a high of 0.46. Based on the distribution chart, Kohnan Shoji Co ranks #14 out of 122 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Kohnan Shoji Co has a GF Score™ of 73/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Kohnan Shoji Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to HD and LOW?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Kohnan Shoji Co ranks #14 out of 122 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Kohnan Shoji Co in the top 12% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.97. Historically, Kohnan Shoji Co's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.32 to 0.46 over the past decade. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.97, based on 122 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Kohnan Shoji Co and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.97 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Kohnan Shoji Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円11,043.17, which is 3155091% above median its own 10-year median of 0.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Kohnan Shoji Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kohnan Shoji Co (TSE:7516) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円4,425.97, compared to a current price of 円4,255.00 — trading 3.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円11,043.17, which is 3155091% above median its 10-year median of 0.35. Kohnan Shoji Co's overall GF Score™ is 73/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Kohnan Shoji Co (TSE:7516), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円11,043.17 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Kohnan Shoji Co (TSE:7516) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Kohnan Shoji Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円4,255.00 is trading 3.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円4,425.97. GuruFocus considers Kohnan Shoji Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7516:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円11,043.17 (3155091% above median its 10-year median of 0.35)
  • GF Value™: 円4,425.97 vs. price of 円4,255.00 (3.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7516 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Kohnan Shoji Co Business Description

Address 2-2-17 Nishimiyahara, Yodogawa-ku, Osaka, JPN, 532-0004
Kohnan Shoji Co Ltd is a Japan-based company that is principally engaged in the retail of products related to home improvement, housekeeping, and automotive supplies and accessories. The company operates through three store chains with different styles: Home Center, mainly offering DIY products and household goods to improve consumers' home and life; Homestock, a small-format version of Home Center with original brands EDLP and Lifelex; and Kohnan Pro, providing tools, building materials, and working equipment for professionals. The majority of the company's stores are Home Center stores.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7516

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円4,255.00
Price
円4,425.97
GF Value