C.S.Lumber Co (TSE:7808) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円6,313.33 (As of Aug. 20, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:7808 C.S.Lumber Co Inc TSE:7808
57 GF Score
Price 円2,732.00
GF Value 円2,995.93
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is C.S.Lumber Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

C.S.Lumber Co TSE:7808 +1.19% 57 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円6,313.33 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus rates TSE:7808 with a GF Score™ of 57/100 and a GF Value™ of 円2,995.93 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 20 Forest Products companies, C.S.Lumber Co ranks worse than 4999995% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-20), C.S.Lumber Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is 円6,313.33.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

C.S.Lumber Co's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for C.S.Lumber Co is 56.73%.

The historical rank and industry rank for C.S.Lumber Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:7808's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Forest Products industry.
Industry Median: 0.99
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

C.S.Lumber Co  (TSE:7808) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


C.S.Lumber Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


C.S.Lumber Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for C.S.Lumber Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

C.S.Lumber Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

C.S.Lumber Co Annual Data
Trend Nov16 Nov17 Nov18 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25 May26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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C.S.Lumber Co Quarterly Data
Feb21 May21 Aug21 Nov21 Feb22 May22 Aug22 Nov22 Feb23 May23 Aug23 Nov23 Feb24 May24 Nov24 May25 Aug25 Nov25 Feb26 May26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

TSE:7808 vs SSD, UFPI, BCC: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Lumber & Wood Production subindustry, C.S.Lumber Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


C.S.Lumber Co Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Forest Products Industry

For the Forest Products industry and Basic Materials sector, C.S.Lumber Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where C.S.Lumber Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


TSE:7808
57GF Score
C.S.Lumber Co Inc TSE:7808
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

C.S.Lumber Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 9.60%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> C.S.Lumber Co's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 9.60%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 9.60%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = 円340.488.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

C.S.Lumber Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.096)/(1+0.09) = 1.005504587156
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=340.488*18.542
=6,313.33

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (6313.33 - 2732.00) / 6313.33
= 56.73 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円6,313.33 mean?
C.S.Lumber Co (TSE:7808) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of 円6,313.33 as of Aug. 20, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on C.S.Lumber Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, C.S.Lumber Co ranks #999999 out of 20 companies in the Forest Products industry.
Is C.S.Lumber Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
C.S.Lumber Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円6,313.33. Based on the distribution chart, C.S.Lumber Co ranks #999999 out of 20 companies in the Forest Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, C.S.Lumber Co has a GF Score™ of 57/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does C.S.Lumber Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to SSD and UFPI?
According to the Forest Products industry distribution chart, C.S.Lumber Co ranks #999999 out of 20 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places C.S.Lumber Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.99. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Forest Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Forest Products companies is 0.99, based on 20 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on C.S.Lumber Co and its competitors. For the Forest Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 0.99 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. C.S.Lumber Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円6,313.33. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is C.S.Lumber Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, C.S.Lumber Co (TSE:7808) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円2,995.93, compared to a current price of 円2,732.00 — trading 8.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円6,313.33. C.S.Lumber Co's overall GF Score™ is 57/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For C.S.Lumber Co (TSE:7808), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 円6,313.33 as of Aug. 20, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is C.S.Lumber Co (TSE:7808) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, C.S.Lumber Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円2,732.00 is trading 8.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円2,995.93. GuruFocus considers C.S.Lumber Co to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:7808:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): 円6,313.33
  • GF Value™: 円2,995.93 vs. price of 円2,732.00 (8.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 57/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:7808 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


C.S.Lumber Co Business Description

Address 1-16-3 Makuhari-Hongo, Hanamigawa-ku, Chiba, JPN, 262-0033
C.S.Lumber Co Inc is a Japan-based company, engages in the pre-cutting and sale of a wood business. It is engaged in the computer-aided design, pre-cut processing, and distribution of lumbers, design of two-by-four method, as well as the manufacture and distribution of panels. It is also engaged in the construction contracting of wooden detached houses and wooden general buildings as well as Real Estate Leasing business.
57GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:7808

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円2,732.00
Price
円2,995.93
GF Value