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The Alkaline Water Co (The Alkaline Water Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is The Alkaline Water Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-01), The Alkaline Water Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

The Alkaline Water Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for The Alkaline Water Co is

The historical rank and industry rank for The Alkaline Water Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

WTER's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry.
Industry Median: 1.075
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

The Alkaline Water Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Alkaline Water Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Alkaline Water Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

The Alkaline Water Co Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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The Alkaline Water Co Quarterly Data
Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of The Alkaline Water Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, The Alkaline Water Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Alkaline Water Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Alkaline Water Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Alkaline Water Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



The Alkaline Water Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.62%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
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3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

The Alkaline Water Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 0.0015) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


The Alkaline Water Co  (OTCPK:WTER) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


The Alkaline Water Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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The Alkaline Water Co (The Alkaline Water Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
8541 E. Anderson Drive, Suite 100, Scottsdale, AZ, USA, 85255
Alkaline Water Co Inc is engaged in the business of distributing and marketing bottled alkaline water for retail consumers of different sizes. The firm sells its product in 500ml, 700ml, 1-liter, 1.5-liter 3-liter, and 1-gallon sizes. Its only operating geographical segment being the United States of America. The company sells its product to convenience stores, natural food products stores, large ethnic markets, and national retailers.
Executives
David Guarino director, officer: CFO, Secretary and Treasurer 19039 N. 90TH LANE, PEORIA AZ 85382
Brian Sudano director 11 WOODWAY LANE, WILTON CT 06897
David Eric Rauch director 16767 N PERIMETER DRIVE, SUITE 320, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Frank Thomas Chessman officer: CEO and President 347 SOUTH SILVERBROOK DRIVE, ANAHEIM CA 92807
Frank Lazaran director 6809 LAHONTAN DRIVE, FORTH WORTH TX 76132
Ronald V Davella director 2600 E SOUTHLAKE BLVD., STE 120-359, SOUTHLAKE TX 76092
Aaron Keay other: Former Director 7325 BLENHEIM STREET, VANCOUVER A1 V6N 1S2
Richard A Wright director, officer: President, VP, CEO and COO 1826 E. LAKECREST DRIVE, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85234
Bruce Thomas Leitch director 109 1141 W7TH AVE, VANCOUVER BC A1 999999999
Lifewater Industries, Llc 10 percent owner 14301 NORTH 87 STREET, SUITE 301, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Win Investments, Llc 10 percent owner 14301 NORTH 87 STREET SUITE 301, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260
Steven Paul Nickolas director, 10 percent owner, officer: President CEO Chairman 14301 N. 87TH ST. STE 301, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85260