XISHY (Xinyi Solar Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $8.03 (As of Jul. 16, 2026) — 943% Above Median

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XISHY Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd XISHY
67 GF Score
Price $4.69
GF Value $7.91
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 6 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Xinyi Solar Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

Xinyi Solar Holdings XISHY 67 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $8.03 as of Jul. 16, 2026, which is 943% above its 10-year median of 0.77. GuruFocus rates XISHY with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of $7.91 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 102 Semiconductors companies, Xinyi Solar Holdings ranks worse than 980391.18% on this metric.

As of today (2026-07-16), Xinyi Solar Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $8.03.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Xinyi Solar Holdings's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Xinyi Solar Holdings is 41.59%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Xinyi Solar Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Xinyi Solar Holdings was 0.96. The lowest was 0.58. And the median was 0.77.

XISHY's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Semiconductors industry.
Industry Median: 2.005
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Xinyi Solar Holdings  (OTCPK:XISHY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Xinyi Solar Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms


Xinyi Solar Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Xinyi Solar Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Xinyi Solar Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Xinyi Solar Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 22.80 20.07 0.00 0.00

Xinyi Solar Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

XISHY vs FSLR, NXT, ENPH: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Comparison

For the Solar subindustry, Xinyi Solar Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Xinyi Solar Holdings Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) vs Semiconductors Industry

For the Semiconductors industry and Technology sector, Xinyi Solar Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Xinyi Solar Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.


XISHY
67GF Score
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd XISHY
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Xinyi Solar Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.59%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Xinyi Solar Holdings's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 2.90%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $0.6957.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Xinyi Solar Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.6957*11.5406
=8.03

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (8.03 - 4.69) / 8.03
= 41.59 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $8.03 mean?
Xinyi Solar Holdings (XISHY) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $8.03 as of Jul. 16, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Xinyi Solar Holdings and its competitors. This is 943% above median its historical median of 0.77. Over the past decade, Xinyi Solar Holdings' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.58 to 0.96. According to the industry distribution chart, Xinyi Solar Holdings ranks #999999 out of 102 companies in the Semiconductors industry.
Is Xinyi Solar Holdings' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) too high?
Xinyi Solar Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $8.03 is 943% above median its 10-year median of 0.77. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.58 to a high of 0.96. The Semiconductors industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 2.01. Xinyi Solar Holdings' value of $8.03 is 300.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Xinyi Solar Holdings ranks #999999 out of 102 companies in the Semiconductors industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Xinyi Solar Holdings has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Xinyi Solar Holdings' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) compare to FSLR and NXT?
According to the Semiconductors industry distribution chart, Xinyi Solar Holdings ranks #999999 out of 102 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based). This places Xinyi Solar Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 2.01. Xinyi Solar Holdings' value of $8.03 is 300.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Xinyi Solar Holdings' own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) has ranged from 0.58 to 0.96 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.77 vs. the industry median of 2.01, Xinyi Solar Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for a Semiconductors company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) among Semiconductors companies is 2.01, based on 102 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Xinyi Solar Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) of $8.03 is 300.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted dividend model. View historical data on Xinyi Solar Holdings and its competitors. For the Semiconductors industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is 2.01 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Xinyi Solar Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $8.03, which is 943% above median its own 10-year median of 0.77. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Xinyi Solar Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xinyi Solar Holdings (XISHY) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $7.91, compared to a current price of $4.69 — trading 40.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $8.03, which is 943% above median its 10-year median of 0.77 and 300.5% above the Semiconductors industry median of 2.01. Xinyi Solar Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Xinyi Solar Holdings (XISHY), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is $8.03 as of Jul. 16, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Xinyi Solar Holdings (XISHY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Xinyi Solar Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $4.69 is trading 40.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $7.91. GuruFocus considers Xinyi Solar Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for XISHY:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based): $8.03 (943% above median its 10-year median of 0.77)
  • GF Value™: $7.91 vs. price of $4.69 (40.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 6 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 300.5% above the Semiconductors median (#999999 of 102)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XISHY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Xinyi Solar Holdings Business Description

Address 2 Xinyi Road, Xinyi PV Glass Industrial Zone, Wuhu Economic and Technology Development Zone, Anhui Province, Wuhu, CHN, 241007
Xinyi Solar Holdings Ltd is an investment holding company. Along with its subsidiaries, the company is engaged in the production and sale of solar glass products and the development and operation of renewable energy business focused on solar farms. The company's operating segments include sales of solar glass and renewable energy business. A majority of its revenue is generated from the sales of solar glass. Geographically, it derives maximum revenue from Mainland China, followed by other areas in Asia, North America and Europe, and other regions.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XISHY

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$4.69
Price
$7.91
GF Value