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Breville GroupBVILF +6.79%93 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $10.24 as of Aug. 24, 2026, which is 445% above its 10-year median of 1.88. GuruFocus rates BVILF with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of $21.44 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 50 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies, Breville Group ranks worse than 86% on this metric.
Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
The historical rank and industry rank for Breville Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:
BVILF'
s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.03 Med: 1.88 Max: 2.6
Current: 2.41
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Breville Group was 2.60. The lowest was 1.03. And the median was 1.88.
BVILF's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than 86% of 50
companies
in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry
Industry Median: 1.015
vs BVILF: 2.41
Breville Group (OTCPK:BVILF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:
1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
Breville Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms
Breville Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Breville Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Breville Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart
For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Breville Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Breville Group Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry
For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Breville Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Breville Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.
Breville Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.83%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 10.10%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
Breville Group's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past
10 years was 10.10%,
which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 10.10%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.635. GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
Breville Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $10.24 mean?
Breville Group (BVILF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $10.24 as of Aug. 24, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Breville Group and its competitors. This is 445% above median its historical median of 1.88. Over the past decade, Breville Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) has ranged from 1.03 to 2.60. According to the industry distribution chart, Breville Group ranks #43 out of 50 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, placing it in the top 86%.
Is Breville Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Breville Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $10.24 is 445% above median its 10-year median of 1.88. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.03 to a high of 2.60. The Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 1.02. Breville Group's value of $10.24 is 908.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Breville Group ranks #43 out of 50 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Breville Group has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Breville Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to SN and SGI?
According to the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry distribution chart, Breville Group ranks #43 out of 50 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places Breville Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 1.02. Breville Group's value of $10.24 is 908.9% above this benchmark. Historically, Breville Group's own Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) has ranged from 1.03 to 2.60 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.88 vs. the industry median of 1.02, Breville Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies is 1.02, based on 50 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Breville Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $10.24 is 908.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Breville Group and its competitors. For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 1.02 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Breville Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $10.24, which is 445% above median its own 10-year median of 1.88. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Breville Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Breville Group (BVILF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $21.44, compared to a current price of $24.70 — trading 15.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $10.24, which is 445% above median its 10-year median of 1.88 and 908.9% above the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median of 1.02. Breville Group's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Breville Group (BVILF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $10.24 as of Aug. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Breville Group (BVILF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Breville Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $24.70 is trading 15.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $21.44.
GuruFocus considers Breville Group to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for BVILF:
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $10.24 (445% above median its 10-year median of 1.88)
GF Value™: $21.44 vs. price of $24.70 (15.2% above fair value)
Industry Position: 908.9% above the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median (#43 of 50)
No single metric tells the full story. See the BVILF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Breville designs and distributes small kitchen appliances globally. The vast majority of revenue is derived from the firm's global product segment, which distributes premium appliances under the Breville brand in Australia, New Zealand, and North America and the Sage brand in the UK and Europe. The company's distribution segment sells products designed and developed by a third party under Breville-owned brands, such as Breville, or third-party brands, such as Nespresso.
93GF Score
Get the complete analysis for BVILF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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