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Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.
China Evergrande Group's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.
The historical rank and industry rank for China Evergrande Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:
EGRNF's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Real Estate industry.
Industry Median: 0.56 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.
China Evergrande Group (OTCPK:EGRNF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation
Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.
Be Aware
What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:
1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.
You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.
China Evergrande Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms
China Evergrande Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for China Evergrande Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
China Evergrande Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart
China Evergrande Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Competitor Comparison
For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, China Evergrande Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
China Evergrande Group Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Real Estate Industry
For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, China Evergrande Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where China Evergrande Group's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.
China Evergrande Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation
This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.
Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:
1. Discount Rate: d = 11% A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.97%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.
2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>
China Evergrande Group's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past
3 years was 0.00%,
which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%
3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10
4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%
5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10
6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-0.489. GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.
All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.
China Evergrande Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $-5.64 mean?
China Evergrande Group (EGRNF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $-5.64 as of Sep. 12, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on China Evergrande Group and its competitors.
Is China Evergrande Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
China Evergrande Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $-5.64. Overall, China Evergrande Group has a GF Score™ of 12/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does China Evergrande Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to competitors?
China Evergrande Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $-5.64 can be compared against companies in the Real Estate industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.56. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Real Estate company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Real Estate companies is 0.56, based on 121 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on China Evergrande Group and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.56 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. China Evergrande Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $-5.64. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is China Evergrande Group stock overvalued right now?
China Evergrande Group (EGRNF) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $-5.64. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $-5.64. China Evergrande Group's overall GF Score™ is 12/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For China Evergrande Group (EGRNF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $-5.64 as of Sep. 12, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
China Evergrande Group is engaged in the property development, property investment, property management, new energy vehicle business, cultural tourism business and health industry business principally in the People's Republic of China. The company is organized into four business segments: property development, property investment, property management and other businesses. Other businesses mainly include new energy vehicle business, cultural tourism business, health industry business and investment business.
12GF Score
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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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