Lululemon Athletica (LTS:0JVT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $420.14 (As of Sep. 08, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
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Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

LTS:0JVT Lululemon Athletica Inc LTS:0JVT
78 GF Score
Price $100.46
GF Value $320.64
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

Lululemon Athletica LTS:0JVT 78 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $420.14 as of Sep. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates LTS:0JVT with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of $320.64 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 138 Retail - Cyclical companies, Lululemon Athletica ranks better than 96.38% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-08), Lululemon Athletica's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $420.14.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Lululemon Athletica's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Lululemon Athletica is 76.09%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

LTS:0JVT' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.24   Med: 0.97   Max: 1.88
Current: 0.24

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Lululemon Athletica was 1.88. The lowest was 0.24. And the median was 0.97.

LTS:0JVT's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
96.38% of 138 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.825 vs LTS:0JVT: 0.24

Lululemon Athletica  (LTS:0JVT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Lululemon Athletica Annual Data
Trend Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24 Jan25 Jan26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 274.39 371.64 436.82 507.74 455.55

Lululemon Athletica Quarterly Data
Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24 Apr24 Jul24 Oct24 Jan25 Apr25 Jul25 Oct25 Jan26 Apr26 Jul26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 511.87 498.00 455.55 428.57 423.39

LTS:0JVT vs BURL, GAP, VSXY: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Lululemon Athletica Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Lululemon Athletica's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


LTS:0JVT
78GF Score
Lululemon Athletica Inc LTS:0JVT
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Lululemon Athletica Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 10%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 3.42%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Lululemon Athletica's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 23.70%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $12.210.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.1) = 1.0909090909091
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.1) = 0.94545454545455

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=12.210*34.4098
=420.14

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(420.14-100.46)/420.14
=76.09 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $420.14 mean?
Lululemon Athletica (LTS:0JVT) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $420.14 as of Sep. 08, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Lululemon Athletica and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Lululemon Athletica ranks #5 out of 138 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 3.6%.
Is Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Lululemon Athletica's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $420.14. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.83. Lululemon Athletica's value of $420.14 is 50826.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Lululemon Athletica ranks #5 out of 138 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Lululemon Athletica has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Lululemon Athletica's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to BURL and GAP?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Lululemon Athletica ranks #5 out of 138 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places Lululemon Athletica in the top 4% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.83. Lululemon Athletica's value of $420.14 is 50826.1% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Retail - Cyclical companies is 0.83, based on 138 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Lululemon Athletica's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $420.14 is 50826.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Lululemon Athletica and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.83 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Lululemon Athletica's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $420.14. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Lululemon Athletica stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lululemon Athletica (LTS:0JVT) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $320.64, compared to a current price of $100.46 — trading 68.7% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $420.14 and 50826.1% above the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 0.83. Lululemon Athletica's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Lululemon Athletica (LTS:0JVT), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $420.14 as of Sep. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Lululemon Athletica (LTS:0JVT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Lululemon Athletica stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $100.46 is trading 68.7% below its estimated GF Value™ of $320.64. GuruFocus considers Lululemon Athletica to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for LTS:0JVT:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $420.14
  • GF Value™: $320.64 vs. price of $100.46 (68.7% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 50826.1% above the Retail - Cyclical median (#5 of 138)

No single metric tells the full story. See the LTS:0JVT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Lululemon Athletica Business Description

Address 1818 Cornwall Avenue, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6J 1C7
Lululemon Athletica designs, distributes, and markets athletic apparel, footwear, and accessories for women, men, and girls. The company offers pants, shorts, tops, and jackets for both leisure and athletic activities such as yoga and running. Lululemon also sells fitness accessories, such as bags, yoga mats, and equipment. It sells its products through digital channels, a small number of wholesale partners, more than 800 company-owned stores in about two dozen countries in North America, Asia, and Western Europe, and about 45 franchised locations in the Middle East and Europe. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for LTS:0JVT

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$100.46
Price
$320.64
GF Value