Afry AB (OSTO:AFRY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): kr108.42 (As of Sep. 04, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

OSTO:AFRY Afry AB OSTO:AFRY
80 GF Score
Price kr104.40
GF Value kr146.77
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Afry AB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

Afry AB OSTO:AFRY +1.46% 80 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is kr108.42 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates OSTO:AFRY with a GF Score™ of 80/100 and a GF Value™ of kr146.77 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 216 Construction companies, Afry AB ranks worse than 65.74% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-04), Afry AB's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is kr108.42.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Afry AB's Predictability Rank is 2.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Afry AB is 3.71%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Afry AB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

OSTO:AFRY' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.6   Med: 1.05   Max: 2.05
Current: 0.96

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Afry AB was 2.05. The lowest was 0.60. And the median was 1.05.

OSTO:AFRY's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
65.74% of 216 companies
in the Construction industry
Industry Median: 0.78 vs OSTO:AFRY: 0.96

Afry AB  (OSTO:AFRY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Afry AB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


Afry AB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Afry AB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Afry AB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Afry AB Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 183.46 139.91 142.42 157.41 110.92

Afry AB Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 128.43 126.15 110.92 108.70 108.42

OSTO:AFRY vs PWR, FIX, EME: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Afry AB's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Afry AB Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Afry AB's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Afry AB's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


OSTO:AFRY
80GF Score
Afry AB OSTO:AFRY
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Afry AB Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.78%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Afry AB's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 1.60%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = kr8.001.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Afry AB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=8.001*13.5514
=108.42

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(108.42-104.40)/108.42
=3.71 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of kr108.42 mean?
Afry AB (OSTO:AFRY) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of kr108.42 as of Sep. 04, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Afry AB and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Afry AB ranks #142 out of 216 companies in the Construction industry, placing it in the top 65.7%.
Is Afry AB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Afry AB's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is kr108.42. Based on the distribution chart, Afry AB ranks #142 out of 216 companies in the Construction industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Afry AB has a GF Score™ of 80/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Afry AB's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to PWR and FIX?
According to the Construction industry distribution chart, Afry AB ranks #142 out of 216 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places Afry AB in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.78. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Construction company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Construction companies is 0.78, based on 216 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Afry AB and its competitors. For the Construction industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.78 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Afry AB's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is kr108.42. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Afry AB stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Afry AB (OSTO:AFRY) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr146.77, compared to a current price of kr104.40 — trading 28.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is kr108.42. Afry AB's overall GF Score™ is 80/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Afry AB (OSTO:AFRY), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is kr108.42 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Afry AB (OSTO:AFRY) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Afry AB stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of kr104.40 is trading 28.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of kr146.77. GuruFocus considers Afry AB to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for OSTO:AFRY:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): kr108.42
  • GF Value™: kr146.77 vs. price of kr104.40 (28.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 80/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the OSTO:AFRY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Afry AB Business Description

Address Frosundaleden 2, Solna, Stockholm, SWE, SE-169 99
Afry AB is an engineering and consulting firm with projects in energy, industrial, and infrastructure markets. The business divisions of the company includes Hydro, Nuclear, Thermal, Transmission & Distribution, Renewables & Energy Storage, and Management Consulting. It constructs plants and provides market analysis for power generation, manufacturing facilities, and refining chemicals.
80GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OSTO:AFRY

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr104.40
Price
kr146.77
GF Value