SYAXF (Elevra Lithium) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $0.52 (As of Aug. 09, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SYAXF Elevra Lithium Ltd SYAXF
44 GF Score
Price $5.75
GF Value $2.69
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 3 Warning Signs
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What is Elevra Lithium Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

Elevra Lithium SYAXF +5.70% 44 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $0.52 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus rates SYAXF with a GF Score™ of 44/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.69 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 87 Metals & Mining companies, Elevra Lithium ranks worse than 1149424.14% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-09), Elevra Lithium's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $0.52.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Elevra Lithium's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Elevra Lithium is -1,005.77%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Elevra Lithium's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SYAXF's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Metals & Mining industry.
Industry Median: 0.73
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Elevra Lithium  (OTCPK:SYAXF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Elevra Lithium Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


Elevra Lithium Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Elevra Lithium's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Elevra Lithium Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Elevra Lithium Annual Data
Trend Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24 Jun25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Elevra Lithium Semi-Annual Data
Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Elevra Lithium Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Competitor Comparison

For the Other Industrial Metals & Mining subindustry, Elevra Lithium's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Elevra Lithium Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Elevra Lithium's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Elevra Lithium's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


SYAXF
44GF Score
Elevra Lithium Ltd SYAXF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Elevra Lithium Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.83%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Elevra Lithium's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $0.045.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Elevra Lithium's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.045*11.5406
=0.52

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(0.52-5.75)/0.52
=-1,005.77 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $0.52 mean?
Elevra Lithium (SYAXF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $0.52 as of Aug. 09, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Elevra Lithium and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Elevra Lithium ranks #999999 out of 87 companies in the Metals & Mining industry.
Is Elevra Lithium's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Elevra Lithium's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $0.52. The Metals & Mining industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.73. Elevra Lithium's value of $0.52 is 28.8% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Elevra Lithium ranks #999999 out of 87 companies in the Metals & Mining industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Elevra Lithium has a GF Score™ of 44/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Elevra Lithium's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to competitors?
According to the Metals & Mining industry distribution chart, Elevra Lithium ranks #999999 out of 87 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This places Elevra Lithium in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.73. Elevra Lithium's value of $0.52 is 28.8% below this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for a Metals & Mining company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Metals & Mining companies is 0.73, based on 87 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Elevra Lithium's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $0.52 is 28.8% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Elevra Lithium and its competitors. For the Metals & Mining industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.73 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Elevra Lithium's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $0.52. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Elevra Lithium stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Elevra Lithium (SYAXF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.69, compared to a current price of $5.75 — trading 113.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $0.52 and 28.8% below the Metals & Mining industry median of 0.73. Elevra Lithium's overall GF Score™ is 44/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Elevra Lithium (SYAXF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $0.52 as of Aug. 09, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Elevra Lithium (SYAXF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Elevra Lithium stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $5.75 is trading 113.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $2.69. GuruFocus considers Elevra Lithium to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for SYAXF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $0.52
  • GF Value™: $2.69 vs. price of $5.75 (113.8% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 44/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 28.8% below the Metals & Mining median (#999999 of 87)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SYAXF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Elevra Lithium Business Description

Address 10 Eagle Street, Level 28, Brisbane, QLD, AUS, 4000
Elevra Lithium Ltd is a mineral exploration and development company. The principal activity of the company is the identification, acquisition, and evaluation of mineral exploration assets, focusing on lithium. The projects of the company include the Moblan Lithium Project, the Carolina Lithium Project, the Ewoyaa Lithium Project, North American Lithium, and other projects. The company also holds an interest in a tenement portfolio in the Pilbara region, prospective for gold and lithium.
44GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SYAXF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$5.75
Price
$2.69
GF Value