TCTZF (Tencent Holdings) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $97.56 (As of Sep. 15, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TCTZF Tencent Holdings Ltd TCTZF
79 GF Score
Price $55.21
GF Value $72.70
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
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What is Tencent Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

Tencent Holdings TCTZF +2.60% 79 Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $97.56 as of Sep. 15, 2026. GuruFocus rates TCTZF with a GF Score™ of 79/100 and a GF Value™ of $72.70 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 39 Interactive Media companies, Tencent Holdings ranks better than 69.23% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-15), Tencent Holdings's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $97.56.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Tencent Holdings's Predictability Rank is 2-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Tencent Holdings is 43.41%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Tencent Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

TCTZF' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.42   Med: 0.72   Max: 1.24
Current: 0.44

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Tencent Holdings was 1.24. The lowest was 0.42. And the median was 0.72.

TCTZF's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked better than
69.23% of 39 companies
in the Interactive Media industry
Industry Median: 0.72 vs TCTZF: 0.44

Tencent Holdings  (OTCPK:TCTZF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Tencent Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms


Tencent Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Tencent Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Tencent Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Tencent Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 140.59 118.61 60.67 91.26 100.45

Tencent Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 95.34 100.55 100.69 107.93 107.05

TCTZF vs GOOGL, META, SPOT: Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Comparison

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Tencent Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tencent Holdings Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) vs Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Tencent Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tencent Holdings's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.


TCTZF
79GF Score
Tencent Holdings Ltd TCTZF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Tencent Holdings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 12%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 5.01%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 19.60%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Tencent Holdings's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 19.60%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 19.60%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $3.519.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Tencent Holdings's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.196)/(1+0.12) = 1.0678571428571
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.12) = 0.92857142857143

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=3.519*27.7248
=97.56

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(97.56-55.21)/97.56
=43.41 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $97.56 mean?
Tencent Holdings (TCTZF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $97.56 as of Sep. 15, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Tencent Holdings and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Tencent Holdings ranks #12 out of 39 companies in the Interactive Media industry, placing it in the top 30.8%.
Is Tencent Holdings' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) too high?
Tencent Holdings' current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $97.56. The Interactive Media industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.72. Tencent Holdings' value of $97.56 is 13450% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tencent Holdings ranks #12 out of 39 companies in the Interactive Media industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Tencent Holdings has a GF Score™ of 79/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tencent Holdings' Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) compare to GOOGL and META?
According to the Interactive Media industry distribution chart, Tencent Holdings ranks #12 out of 39 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based). This puts Tencent Holdings in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.72. Tencent Holdings' value of $97.56 is 13450% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for an Interactive Media company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) among Interactive Media companies is 0.72, based on 39 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tencent Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) of $97.56 is 13450% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted earnings model. View historical data on Tencent Holdings and its competitors. For the Interactive Media industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is 0.72 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tencent Holdings's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $97.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tencent Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tencent Holdings (TCTZF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $72.70, compared to a current price of $55.21 — trading 24.1% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $97.56 and 13450% above the Interactive Media industry median of 0.72. Tencent Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 79/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tencent Holdings (TCTZF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is $97.56 as of Sep. 15, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Tencent Holdings (TCTZF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tencent Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $55.21 is trading 24.1% below its estimated GF Value™ of $72.70. GuruFocus considers Tencent Holdings to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TCTZF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based): $97.56
  • GF Value™: $72.70 vs. price of $55.21 (24.1% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 79/100
  • Industry Position: 13450% above the Interactive Media median (#12 of 39)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TCTZF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Tencent Holdings Business Description

Address No. 33 Haitian 2nd Road, Tencent Binhai Towers, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518054
Tencent is the world's largest game publisher, with top-grossing mobile hits like Honor of Kings and Peacekeeper Elite and a steady pipeline of new titles. It also operates WeChat-China's super-app with roughly 1.3 billion users-embedded in daily life for messaging, short video, mini programs, payments, and shopping. Beyond its own platforms, Tencent is a prolific strategic investor, holding stakes in leading internet companies such as PDD, Kuaishou, and Xiaohongshu.
79GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TCTZF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$55.21
Price
$72.70
GF Value