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HomeAway (HomeAway) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of May. 05, 2024)


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What is HomeAway Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-05), HomeAway's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

HomeAway's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for HomeAway is N/A%.

The industry rank for HomeAway's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

AWAY's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Interactive Media industry.
Industry Median: 0.7
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

HomeAway Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for HomeAway's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

HomeAway Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

HomeAway Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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HomeAway Quarterly Data
Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of HomeAway's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, HomeAway's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


HomeAway's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, HomeAway's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where HomeAway's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



HomeAway Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.50%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> HomeAway's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

HomeAway's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-31.38)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


HomeAway  (NAS:AWAY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


HomeAway Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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HomeAway (HomeAway) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
HomeAway, Inc., was incorporated in 2004 as CEH Holdings, Inc. in the State of Delaware. In 2006, the Company changed its name to HomeAway, Inc. The Company operates as an online marketplace for the vacation rental industry. Vacation rentals are fully furnished, privately owned residential properties, including homes, condominiums, villas and cabins that can be rented on a nightly, weekly or monthly basis. The Company's marketplace brings together millions of travelers seeking vacation rentals online with hundreds of thousands of owners and managers of vacation rental properties located in over 145 countries around the world. Its ambition is to make every vacation rental in the world available to every traveler in the world through its online marketplace. The Company's Products and Services includes Paid Listings. Paid listings appear in search results on websites when travelers search for vacation rentals based on location, type of property, size or other characteristics. A paid listing provides the property owner or manager with a set of tools for managing an availability calendar, reservations, inquiries and the content of the listing; Transaction-Based Listings: The Company offers property managers with large inventories of vacation rentals the opportunity to post listings for no initial up-front fees and, instead, charge fees based on the number of inquiries and online reservations that result from their listing on its websites; Property Management Software: Property managers can use Company's enterprise software solutions to manage their businesses, customers and properties. It provides software solutions to property managers under the brand names Escapia, PropertyPlus, V12, Entech and First Resort and offer software tailored to professional. Its strategies to achieve goal includes: Increase the Size of Marketplace by Providing the Online Experience: It intends to build on its market scale by providing the online experience for travelers, property owners and managers. For travelers, the Company will leverage the scale and scope of the current listings on marketplace, the latest web technologies and own innovations in user interface, visual design, features and functionality; Bring More Choice and Value to Property Owners, Managers and Traveler. It derives its revenue from paid listings from its property owners and managers. The Company's customers generally pay for their listings at the beginning of the listing term, and revenue is recognized monthly over the term of the listing, which is generally one year.
Executives
Simon J Breakwell director C/O EXPEDIA INC, 333 108TH AVENUE NE, BELLEVUE WA 98004
Thomas E Hale officer: Chief Operating Officer 600 TOWNSEND ST, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94103
Rebecca Lynn Atchison officer: Chief Financial Officer 10355 PECAN PARK BOULEVARD, AUSTIN TX 78729
Charles Baker director C/O MONSTER WORLDWIDE, INC., 622 THIRD AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Brian Sharples director, officer: CEO, President and Chairman 1250 CAPITAL OF TX HWY, BLDG 2, PLAZA 1, AUSTIN TX 78746
Christopher P Marshall director 250 MIDDLEFIELD RD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Brent Bellm officer: President & COO 11305 FOUR POINTS DRIVE, BUILDING II, THIRD FLOOR, AUSTIN TX 78726
Robert Solomon director 600 WEST CHICAGO AVENUE, SUITE 620, CHICAGO IL 60654
Av Partners X, L.p. 10 percent owner 300 W. 6TH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Av Partners X, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 300 W. 6TH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Austin Ventures X Lp 10 percent owner 300 WEST 6TH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Christopher A Pacitti 10 percent owner 300 WEST SIXTH STREET, SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
John D Thornton 10 percent owner 300 WEST SIXTH ST., SUITE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Kenneth P Deangelis 10 percent owner 300 WEST SIXTH ST STE 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701
Joseph C Aragona 10 percent owner C/O AUSTIN VENTURES, 300 W. SIXTH ST., STE. 2300, AUSTIN TX 78701

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