CFSKF (Chofu Seisakusho Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $8.75 (As of Aug. 08, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CFSKF Chofu Seisakusho Co Ltd CFSKF
65 GF Score
Price $13.50
GF Value $13.03
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Chofu Seisakusho Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

Chofu Seisakusho Co CFSKF +3.05% 65 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.75 as of Aug. 08, 2026. GuruFocus rates CFSKF with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of $13.03. The stock has 5 warning signs investors should review. Among 42 Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies, Chofu Seisakusho Co ranks worse than 2380950% on this metric.

As of today (2026-08-08), Chofu Seisakusho Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $8.75.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Chofu Seisakusho Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Chofu Seisakusho Co is -54.29%.

The industry rank for Chofu Seisakusho Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

CFSKF's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry.
Industry Median: 0.915
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Chofu Seisakusho Co  (OTCPK:CFSKF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Chofu Seisakusho Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


Chofu Seisakusho Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Chofu Seisakusho Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Chofu Seisakusho Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Chofu Seisakusho Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Chofu Seisakusho Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

CFSKF vs SN, SGI, MHK: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Chofu Seisakusho Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chofu Seisakusho Co Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Chofu Seisakusho Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chofu Seisakusho Co's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


CFSKF
65GF Score
Chofu Seisakusho Co Ltd CFSKF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Chofu Seisakusho Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 9%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 2.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Chofu Seisakusho Co's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 3.80%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.646.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Chofu Seisakusho Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.09) = 0.96330275229358
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.09) = 0.95412844036697

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.646*13.5514
=8.75

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(8.75-13.50)/8.75
=-54.29 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $8.75 mean?
Chofu Seisakusho Co (CFSKF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $8.75 as of Aug. 08, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Chofu Seisakusho Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Chofu Seisakusho Co ranks #999999 out of 42 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry.
Is Chofu Seisakusho Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
Chofu Seisakusho Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.75. The Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.92. Chofu Seisakusho Co's value of $8.75 is 856.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Chofu Seisakusho Co ranks #999999 out of 42 companies in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Chofu Seisakusho Co has a GF Score™ of 65/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Chofu Seisakusho Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to SN and SGI?
According to the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry distribution chart, Chofu Seisakusho Co ranks #999999 out of 42 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places Chofu Seisakusho Co in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.92. Chofu Seisakusho Co's value of $8.75 is 856.3% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for a Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances companies is 0.92, based on 42 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Chofu Seisakusho Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $8.75 is 856.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on Chofu Seisakusho Co and its competitors. For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.92 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Chofu Seisakusho Co's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.75. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Chofu Seisakusho Co stock overvalued right now?
Chofu Seisakusho Co (CFSKF) has a current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $8.75. The stock's GF Value™ is $13.03, compared to a current price of $13.50 — trading 3.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.75 and 856.3% above the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry median of 0.92. Chofu Seisakusho Co's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 5 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Chofu Seisakusho Co (CFSKF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $8.75 as of Aug. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Chofu Seisakusho Co (CFSKF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Chofu Seisakusho Co stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $13.50 is trading 3.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $13.03.

Key valuation signals for CFSKF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $8.75
  • GF Value™: $13.03 vs. price of $13.50 (3.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 5 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 856.3% above the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median (#999999 of 42)

No single metric tells the full story. See the CFSKF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Chofu Seisakusho Co Business Description

Other Exchanges 5946:Japan
Address 2-1 Chofu ogimachi, Shimonoseki-shi, Yamaguchi, JPN, 752-8555
Chofu Seisakusho Co Ltd is a Japanese manufacturing company that produces and sells water heaters, air conditioners, heat pump systems, solar equipment, and Kitchen related, commercial household equipment . It operates solely across Japan. These operations are divided among its sales and marketing, manufacturing and engineering, research and development, and quality control activities.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CFSKF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$13.50
Price
$13.03
GF Value