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Bottomline Technologies (Bottomline Technologies) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $11.09 (As of Apr. 30, 2024)


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What is Bottomline Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-30), Bottomline Technologies's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $11.09.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Bottomline Technologies's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Bottomline Technologies is -413.89%.

The industry rank for Bottomline Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

EPAY's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 0.96
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Bottomline Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Bottomline Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Bottomline Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Bottomline Technologies Annual Data
Trend Jun12 Jun13 Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.74 17.67 8.72 - 15.23

Bottomline Technologies Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 15.23 14.98 14.95 13.02

Competitive Comparison of Bottomline Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Bottomline Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Bottomline Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Bottomline Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Bottomline Technologies's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Bottomline Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.67%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Bottomline Technologies's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.961.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Bottomline Technologies's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.961*11.5406
=11.09

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(11.09-56.99)/11.09
=-413.89 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Bottomline Technologies  (NAS:EPAY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Bottomline Technologies Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Bottomline Technologies (Bottomline Technologies) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
325 Corporate Drive, Portsmouth, NH, USA, 03801-6808
Bottomline Technologies Inc provides financial oriented solutions. It is a trusted and easy-to-use set of cloud-based digital banking, fraud prevention, payment, financial document, and healthcare solutions. Bottomline consists of four operating segments: Cloud Solutions segment provides customers predominately with SaaS technology offerings that facilitate electronic payment, electronic invoicing and spend management; Digital Banking segment provides solutions that are specifically designed for banking and financial institution customers; Payments and Transactional Documents segment is a supplier of software products that provide a range of financial business process management solutions; and Other segment consists of healthcare and cyber fraud and risk management operating segments.
Executives
Larry A Klane director 88 WEST PLUMERIA DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Ken D'amato director 320 NORWOOD PARK SOUTH NORWOOD MA 02062
Adam Bruce Bowden director, officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O BOTTOMLINE TECHNOLOGIES 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Michael J Curran director BOTTOMLINE TECHNOLOGIES 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Paul H Hough director 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03885
Robinson Benjamin E Iii director 325 CORPORATE DRIVE, PORTSMOUTH NH 03885
Jennifer M Gray director BOTTOMLINE TECHNOLOGIES 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Joseph L Mullen director C/O BOTTOMLINE TECHNOLOGIES INC 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Jeffrey C Leathe director
Nigel K Savory officer: Managing Director Europe 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Norman J Deluca officer: MD of Banking Solutions BOTTOMLINE TECHNOLOGIES INC /DE/ 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Robert A Eberle director, officer: President & CEO C/O BOTTOMLINE TECHNOLOGIES 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Peter Gibson director 325 CORPORATE DRIVE PORTSMOUTH NH 03885
Craig S Saks officer: President 6060 COVENTRY DRIVE, ELKHORN NE 68022
Clearfield Capital Management Lp other: SEE REMARKS 430 PARK AVENUE, 11TH FLOOR NEW YORK NY 10022

Bottomline Technologies (Bottomline Technologies) Headlines