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Dot Hill Systems (Dot Hill Systems) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $0.00 (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Dot Hill Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-06-09), Dot Hill Systems's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $0.00.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Dot Hill Systems's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Dot Hill Systems is N/A%.

The industry rank for Dot Hill Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HILL's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 0.94
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Dot Hill Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Dot Hill Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Dot Hill Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Dot Hill Systems Annual Data
Trend Dec05 Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Dot Hill Systems Quarterly Data
Sep10 Dec10 Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Dot Hill Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Computer Hardware subindustry, Dot Hill Systems's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dot Hill Systems's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Dot Hill Systems's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dot Hill Systems's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Dot Hill Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.43%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Dot Hill Systems's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.000.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Dot Hill Systems's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.000*11.5406
=0.00

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(0-9.75)/0
=N/A %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Dot Hill Systems  (NAS:HILL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Dot Hill Systems Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Dot Hill Systems (Dot Hill Systems) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Dot Hill Systems Corp was formed in 1999 by the combination of Box Hill Systems Corp., or Box Hill, and Artecon, Inc., or Artecon. It reincorporated in Delaware in 2001. It designs, manufactures and markets a range of software and hardware storage systems for the entry and mid-range storage markets. The Company sells its products through server-based original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), such as Hewlett-Packard, or HP, Dell Inc. or Dell, Lenovo Group Limited or Lenovo, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. or AMD, and Stratus Technologies or Stratus; as well as into vertical markets through embedded solutions OEM's, such as Teradata Corporation or Teradata, CGG Veritas or CGG, Motorola, Inc. or Motorola, Tektronix Inc. or Tektronix, Samsung Electronics or Samsung, Concurrent Computer Corporation or Concurrent, Autodesk Inc. or Autodesk, Harris Broadcast Communications and Nokia Siemens Network or Nokia Siemens, which primarily include media and entertainment, telecommunications, high performance computing, digital image archive, big data and oil and gas. The Company's products, from small capacity direct attached to complete multi-hundred terabyte, or TB, storage area networks, or SANs, provide end-users with a cost-effective means of addressing increasing storage demands at compelling price-performance points. The Company's current product family based on its AssuredSAN architecture provides high performance and large disk array capacities for a broad variety of environments, employing Fibre Channel, Internet Small Computer Systems Interface, or iSCSI and Serial Attached SCSI, or SAS, interconnects to switches and/or hosts. In addition, its Assured family of data protection software products provides additional layers of data protection options to complement its line of storage disk arrays. The Company's current mainstream 2000 and 3000 series of entry-level storage products and Just a Bunch of Disks, or JBOD, arrays are targeted primarily at mainstream enterprise and small-to-medium business, or SMB, applications. The Company's AssuredSAN products have been distinguished by certification as Network Equipment Building System, or NEBS, Level 3 (a telecommunications standard for equipment used in central offices) and are MIL-STD-810F (a military standard created by the U.S.government) compliant based on their ruggedness and reliability. In February 2010, it launched the latest AssuredSAN 3000 series of storage arrays that provide high speed interface options including 8 gigabyte, or GB, Fibre Channel, 1GB and 10GB iSCSI over Ethernet and 6GB SAS connectivity. The Company's AssuredUVS product line, formerly known as the intelligent storage networking system, or iSN TM, is based on the technology it acquired in January 2010 from Cloverleaf Communications, Inc., or Cloverleaf, a privately held software company focused on heterogeneous storage virtualization and unified storage technologies. AssuredSnap is its DMS software that introduces p
Executives
Charles F Christ director
Barry Rudolph director 1351 S SUNSET STREET, LONGMONT CO 80501
Ernest J Sampias director 1600 BROADWAY, SUITE 2200, DENVER CO 80202
Dana Kammersgard director, officer: President & CEO 6305 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92009
Richard Jr Mejia director 2200 FARADAY AVENUE, SUITE 100, CARLSBAD CA 92008
Kimberly Alexy director 500 MCCARTHY BLVD., MILPITAS CA 95035
Philip Davis officer: Ex. VP WW Field Operations 6305 EL CAMINO REAL, CARLSBAD CA 92009
Chong Sup Park director 22071 DORSEY WAY, SARATOGA CA 95070

Dot Hill Systems (Dot Hill Systems) Headlines

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