MIDD (The Middleby) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $160.72 (As of Sep. 04, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

MIDD The Middleby Corp MIDD
76 GF Score
Price $111.75
GF Value $118.94
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is The Middleby Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

The Middleby MIDD -0.58% 76 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $160.72 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus rates MIDD with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $118.94 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 344 Industrial Products companies, The Middleby ranks better than 75.87% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-04), The Middleby's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $160.72.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

The Middleby's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for The Middleby is 30.47%.

The industry rank for The Middleby's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

MIDD's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked better than
75.87% of 344 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.465 vs MIDD: 0.70

The Middleby  (NAS:MIDD) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


The Middleby Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


The Middleby Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for The Middleby's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Middleby Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

The Middleby Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 185.12 90.46 194.96 195.85 176.61

The Middleby Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 182.79 184.97 176.61 162.41 160.72

MIDD vs SYM, CSW, XE: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, The Middleby's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Middleby Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, The Middleby's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Middleby's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


MIDD
76GF Score
The Middleby Corp MIDD
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

The Middleby Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.78%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 10.50%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> The Middleby's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 10.50%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 10.50%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $9.709.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

The Middleby's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.105)/(1+0.11) = 0.9954954954955
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=9.709*16.5535
=160.72

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(160.72-111.75)/160.72
=30.47 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $160.72 mean?
The Middleby (MIDD) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $160.72 as of Sep. 04, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on The Middleby and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, The Middleby ranks #83 out of 344 companies in the Industrial Products industry, placing it in the top 24.1%.
Is The Middleby's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
The Middleby's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $160.72. The Industrial Products industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.47. The Middleby's value of $160.72 is 10870.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, The Middleby ranks #83 out of 344 companies in the Industrial Products industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, The Middleby has a GF Score™ of 76/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does The Middleby's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to SYM and CSW?
According to the Industrial Products industry distribution chart, The Middleby ranks #83 out of 344 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places The Middleby in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.47. The Middleby's value of $160.72 is 10870.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for an Industrial Products company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Industrial Products companies is 1.47, based on 344 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. The Middleby's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $160.72 is 10870.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on The Middleby and its competitors. For the Industrial Products industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 1.47 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. The Middleby's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $160.72. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is The Middleby stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Middleby (MIDD) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $118.94, compared to a current price of $111.75 — trading 6% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $160.72 and 10870.6% above the Industrial Products industry median of 1.47. The Middleby's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For The Middleby (MIDD), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $160.72 as of Sep. 04, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is The Middleby (MIDD) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, The Middleby stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $111.75 is trading 6% below its estimated GF Value™ of $118.94. GuruFocus considers The Middleby to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for MIDD:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $160.72
  • GF Value™: $118.94 vs. price of $111.75 (6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 10870.6% above the Industrial Products median (#83 of 344)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MIDD stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


The Middleby Business Description

Other Exchanges 0K1G:UKMBY:Germany
Address 1400 Toastmaster Drive, Elgin, IL, USA, 60120
The Middleby Corp is engaged in designing, manufacturing, marketing, distribution and service of a broad line of foodservice equipment used in all types of commercial restaurants and institutional kitchens, food preparation, cooking, baking, chilling and packaging equipment for food processing operations, and premium kitchen equipment including ranges, ovens, refrigerators, ventilation, dishwashers and outdoor cooking equipment used in the residential market. The company conducts its business through three principal business segments namely the Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group, the Food Processing Equipment Group and the Residential Kitchen Equipment Group. The firm derives majority revenue from Commercial Foodservice Equipment Group segment.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MIDD

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$111.75
Price
$118.94
GF Value