NWFFF (NWF Group) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $7.80 (As of Sep. 06, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

NWFFF NWF Group PLC NWFFF
69 GF Score
Price $1.88
GF Value $2.25
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 3 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is NWF Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

NWF Group NWFFF 69 Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $7.80 as of Sep. 06, 2026. GuruFocus rates NWFFF with a GF Score™ of 69/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.25 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 64 Oil & Gas companies, NWF Group ranks better than 81.25% on this metric.

As of today (2026-09-06), NWF Group's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $7.80.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

NWF Group's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for NWF Group is 75.90%.

The industry rank for NWF Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

NWFFF's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is ranked better than
81.25% of 64 companies
in the Oil & Gas industry
Industry Median: 0.785 vs NWFFF: 0.24

NWF Group  (OTCPK:NWFFF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


NWF Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms


NWF Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for NWF Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

NWF Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

NWF Group Annual Data
Trend May17 May18 May19 May20 May21 May22 May23 May24 May25 May26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 9.73 7.59 7.93

NWF Group Semi-Annual Data
Nov16 May17 Nov17 May18 Nov18 May19 Nov19 May20 Nov20 May21 Nov21 May22 Nov22 May23 Nov23 May24 Nov24 May25 Nov25 May26
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 9.73 0.00 7.59 0.00 7.93

NWFFF vs MPC, VLO, PSX: Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Comparison

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, NWF Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NWF Group Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) vs Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, NWF Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NWF Group's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


NWFFF
69GF Score
NWF Group PLC NWFFF
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

NWF Group Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.80%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> NWF Group's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -0.80%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $0.676.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

NWF Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=0.676*11.5406
=7.80

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(7.8-1.88)/7.8
=75.90 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $7.80 mean?
NWF Group (NWFFF) has a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $7.80 as of Sep. 06, 2026. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on NWF Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, NWF Group ranks #12 out of 64 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, placing it in the top 18.7%.
Is NWF Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) too high?
NWF Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $7.80. The Oil & Gas industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.79. NWF Group's value of $7.80 is 893.6% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, NWF Group ranks #12 out of 64 companies in the Oil & Gas industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, NWF Group has a GF Score™ of 69/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does NWF Group's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) compare to MPC and VLO?
According to the Oil & Gas industry distribution chart, NWF Group ranks #12 out of 64 companies for Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based). This places NWF Group in the top 19% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.79. NWF Group's value of $7.80 is 893.6% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for an Oil & Gas company?
The median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) among Oil & Gas companies is 0.79, based on 64 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. NWF Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) of $7.80 is 893.6% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) mean?
A high Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is the stock value based on a two-stage discounted free cash flow model. View historical data on NWF Group and its competitors. For the Oil & Gas industry, the median Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is 0.79 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. NWF Group's current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $7.80. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is NWF Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NWF Group (NWFFF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.25, compared to a current price of $1.88 — trading 16.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $7.80 and 893.6% above the Oil & Gas industry median of 0.79. NWF Group's overall GF Score™ is 69/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) calculated?
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is calculated from a company's financial statements. For NWF Group (NWFFF), the current Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is $7.80 as of Sep. 06, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is NWF Group (NWFFF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, NWF Group stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $1.88 is trading 16.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2.25. GuruFocus considers NWF Group to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for NWFFF:

  • Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based): $7.80
  • GF Value™: $2.25 vs. price of $1.88 (16.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 69/100 with 3 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 893.6% above the Oil & Gas median (#12 of 64)

No single metric tells the full story. See the NWFFF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


NWF Group Business Description

Industry EnergyOil & Gas
Other Exchanges NWF:UKNYY:Germany
Address Wardle, Nantwich, Cheshire, GBR, CW5 6BP
NWF Group PLC is engaged in manufacturing and selling of animal feeds, the sales and distribution of fuel oils and the warehousing and distribution of ambient groceries. The company's operating segments include Food, Feeds and Fuels. The Food segment is engaged in the warehousing and distribution of clients' ambient grocery and other products to supermarket and other retail distribution centers. The Feeds segment manufactures and sells animal feeds and other agricultural products. The Fuels segment is engaged in the sale and distribution of domestic heating, industrial and road fuels. The company generates maximum revenue from Fuels segment. It operates entirely in the United Kingdom.
69GF Score

Get the complete analysis for NWFFF

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$1.88
Price
$2.25
GF Value