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POCI (Precision Optics) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-7.34 (As of Jun. 22, 2025)


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What is Precision Optics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2025-06-22), Precision Optics's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-7.34.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Precision Optics's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Precision Optics is N/A.

The industry rank for Precision Optics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

POCI's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Medical Devices & Instruments industry.
Industry Median: 1.41
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Precision Optics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Precision Optics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Precision Optics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Precision Optics Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Precision Optics Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
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Competitive Comparison of Precision Optics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Medical Instruments & Supplies subindustry, Precision Optics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Precision Optics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Medical Devices & Instruments Industry

For the Medical Devices & Instruments industry and Healthcare sector, Precision Optics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Precision Optics's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.


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Precision Optics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.38%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Precision Optics's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 3.50%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.636.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Precision Optics's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.636*11.5406
=-7.34

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-7.34-4.59)/-7.34
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Precision Optics  (NAS:POCI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Precision Optics Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Precision Optics Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
22 East Broadway, Gardner, MA, USA, 01440
Precision Optics Corp Inc is engaged in designing, developing, and manufacturing advanced optical instruments. It manufactures medical products such as endoscopes and endocouplers which incorporate various optical technologies for use in a variety of minimally invasive surgical and diagnostic procedures. The company also produces endoscopes for various applications as well as designs and manufactures custom optical medical devices to satisfy customers' specific requirements. In addition, the company manufactures and sells components and assemblies specially designed for industrial and military use. The company earns the majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Peter V. Anania director, 10 percent owner C/O PRECISION OPTICS CORPORATION, INC., 22 EAST BROADWAY, GARDNER MA 01440
Mahesh Lawande officer: Chief Operating Officer 14 PUTNAM ROAD, ACTON MA 01720
Wayne M Coll officer: Chief Financial Officer
Joseph Norman Forkey director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O PRECISION OPTICS CORPORATION INC, 22 EAST BROADWAY, GARDNER MA 01440
Edward Kevin Dahill officer: Interim CFO 137 HOLLOW TREE RIDGE ROAD, DARIEN CT 06820
Norman H Pessin 10 percent owner C/O LEVY, HARKINS & CO., INC., 366 MADISON AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Sandra F Pessin 10 percent owner C/O NORMAN PESSIN, 366 MADISON AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Brian L. Pessin 10 percent owner 310 EAST 75TH STREET, APT. 2A, NEW YORK NY 10021
Jeffrey Dirubio officer: VP of Sales and Marketing 22 EAST BROADWAY, GARDNER MA 01440
Stuart Steinberg 10 percent owner 85 BELLEVUE AVENUE, RYE NY 10580
Daniel S Habhegger officer: Chief Financial Officer 22 EAST BROADWAY, GARDNER MA 01440
Divaker Mangadu officer: Pres., Ross Optical Division 22 EAST BROADWAY, GARDNER MA 01440
Hershey Strategic Capital, Lp 10 percent owner C/O HERSHEY STRATEGIC CAPITAL GP, LLC, 6 POMPANO ROAD, RUMSON NJ 07760
Peter H Woodward director 30 WEST 63RD STREET, SUITE 18G, NEW YORK NY 10023
Andrew J Miclow director C/O PRECISION OPTICS CORPORATION INC., 22 EAST BROADWAY, GARDNER MA 01440