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Remitly Global (Remitly Global) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-10.81 (As of May. 01, 2024)


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What is Remitly Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-01), Remitly Global's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-10.81.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Remitly Global's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Remitly Global is N/A.

The industry rank for Remitly Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

RELY's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Software industry.
Industry Median: 0.98
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Remitly Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Remitly Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Remitly Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Remitly Global Annual Data
Trend Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
- - - - -

Remitly Global Quarterly Data
Dec19 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Remitly Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Remitly Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Remitly Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Remitly Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Remitly Global's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Remitly Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Remitly Global's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 23.70%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-0.346.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Remitly Global's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-0.346*31.2501
=-10.81

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-10.81-17.40)/-10.81
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Remitly Global  (NAS:RELY) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Remitly Global Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Remitly Global (Remitly Global) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1111 Third Avenue, Suite 2100, Seattle, WA, USA, 98101
Remitly Global Inc provides integrated financial services to immigrants, including helping customers send money internationally in a quick, reliable, and more cost-effective manner by leveraging digital channels. It supports cross-border transmissions across the globe. The company's revenue is generated on transaction fees charged to customers and foreign exchange spreads between the foreign exchange rate offered to customers and the foreign exchange rate on the company's currency purchases.
Executives
Rene Yoakum officer: EVP, Customer and Culture C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., 1111 3RD AVE., 21ST FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98101
Bora Chung director C/O BILL.COM HOLDINGS, INC., 1810 EMBARCADERO ROAD, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Matthew B. Oppenheimer director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1111 THIRD AVENUE, ST. 2100, C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., SEATTLE WA 98101
Hemanth Munipalli officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., 1111 THIRD AVENUE, SUITE 2100, SEATTLE WA 98101
Joshua Hug director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 1111 THIRD AVENUE, ST. 2100, C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., SEATTLE WA 98101
Ankur Sinha officer: Chief Technology Officer C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., 1111 3RD AVE., 21ST FLOOR, SEATTLE WA 98101
Nigel W Morris director 1680 CAPITAL ONE DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22102
Gail A Miller officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., 1111 3RD AVE., 21ST FLOOR, SEATTLE, WA 98101
Phyllis J Campbell director C/O AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES GROUP, INC., 145 HUNTER DRIVE, WILMINGTON OH 45177
Ryno Blignaut director C/O XOOM CORPORATION, 100 BUSH STREET, SUITE 300, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94104
Stripes Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 402 WEST 13TH ST., 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Stripes Iii, Lp 10 percent owner 402 WEST 13TH STREET, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10014
Stripes Gp Iii, Llc 10 percent owner 402 WEST 13TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10014
Kenneth A Fox 10 percent owner
William Kazuo Bryant director 1111 THIRD AVENUE, ST. 2100, C/O REMITLY GLOBAL, INC., SEATTLE WA 98101

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